ISNA quoted an "informed source" saying "the injection of gas was carried out" in the past week. "We have obtained the product of the second cascade," the source said. ISNA(イラン学生ニュース・エージェンシー)は「情報筋によれば、ウラン濃縮装置へ の(UF6の)ガス供給が開始された」「第二カスケードのウラン濃縮が開始された」と伝 えた。
Diplomats said this week Iran had started "dry testing" a network of 164 centrifuges, known as cascades, to go with an original network that yielded Iran's first batch of enriched uranium suitable for power plant fuel. 外交官らは今週、イランが164個のガス拡散濃縮装置のネットワークの「ドライラン(燃料 なしの運転試験)」を開始したと述べていた。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6090742.stm Last Updated: Friday, 27 October 2006, 11:00 GMT 12:00 UK Iran 'steps up nuclear programme'
BBC:イランが核燃料計画をステップアップ
'No secret' The Iranian report suggested that scientists had injected gas into the second cascade. イランからの報告では科学者が第二カスケードにガスを供給した Isna quoted its unnamed source as saying the second cascade's "product" had been obtained. ISNAによれば第にカスケードのウラン濃縮が開始された The source said the second cascade had been installed two weeks ago with the knowledge of UN nuclear inspectors. 第二カスケードは2週間前に導入され国連の監視員はそれを知っている
"The International Atomic Energy Agency has been fully aware of the issue and the inspectors are present in Iran," the source said. ISNAに拠ればIAEAの監視員はイランに駐在していて、この事実を良く知っているという
デフレ脱却判断については「物価が持続的に下落する状況は止まっているが、後戻りし ないか、もうしばらく注視していきたい」と述べ、従来の考えを繰り返した。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=atqR4KnqovRA&refer=japan Japan's Government to Watch If Prices Resume Falling (Update1) By Keiichi Yamamura and Toru Fujioka Oct. 27 (Bloomberg)
Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Japan's government should watch whether consumer prices will resume declining, even after they've stopped falling continuously, Economic and Fiscal Policy Minister Hiroko Ota said. ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://news.tbs.co.jp/part_news/part_news3411474.html 大田氏、デフレ脱却判断は慎重な見方 (TBSニュース、27日11:04)
「物価が持続的に下落する状況は止まっていますけど、物価が後戻りしないかどうか、も うしばらく注視していきたい」(大田経済財政担当大臣) ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aTwRMTYDRzmI&refer=japan Yen Drops to Record Against Euro After Japan's Inflation Report By Chris Young and Ron Harui ブルームバーグ:対ユーロで円が下落、日本のインフレ率発表の後で
``The yen should stay weak on rate differentials,'' said Tony Morriss, a currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Sydney. ``The inflation data mean there's no economic case for the Bank of Japan to raise rates now.''
However, energy prices could be the decisive factor. Jesper Koll, economist at Merrill Lynch, said that, if the price of oil continued to fall, the inflation rate could turn negative again next year.
the Bank of Japan ? “Outlook for economic activity and prices” - is very important. The report will outline the bank’s thinking on future monetary policy on the back of its expectations for economic activity and prices. We expect that board members will slightly lower their expectations for growth and inflation compared to the April report. This will pave the way for the Bank of Japan staying on hold for the rest of 2006.
Yet Beijing has obviously concluded that Abe is someone with whom it can work to renew relations. As it became apparent that Abe would succeed Koizumi as prime minister, the Chinese newspapers and media networks, normally very critical of Japanese conservatives, carried reports and analyses that placed a positive spin on Abe’s shifting and softening positions (China Daily, September 20; Asahi Shimbun, October 7). 中国メディアは安倍首相の右翼的傾向への非難を止め、日中関係改善を安倍首相に 期待する態度を示した。
Yasukuni: Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell(ry
A Reciprocal Relationship?
The very fact that the summit took place was already a plus both to Beijing and Tokyo, as were the multiple-point suggestions for furthering bilateral relations offered by both sides. Nevertheless, the most significant development in terms of new ideas during the summit was Abe’s proposal that Japan and China should “establish a reciprocal relationship based on mutual strategic interests” 安倍主張の訪中、サミットで最も大きな成果は、日中が相互の戦略利益に基づく、相互的 (互恵)関係を確立すべきだとするアイデアであろう。
There is no doubt that many issues could potentially derail Sino-Japanese relations such as the dispute over the East China Sea, the issue of Taiwan, the North Korean nuclear crisis, Japan’s potential strengthening of its military, and, of course, Yasukuni or history related controversies. For now, however, Beijing and Tokyo have entered a new round of the “normalization process” after five years of interruptions. It will require both the strength and skills of the leaders in both capitals to make the process work. 領土問題、靖国問題、歴史問題、台湾関係など日中の紛争のネタは多いのだけれど、今の ところ日中両政府は、5年ぶりの「関係正常化プロセス」に入った。これを成功させるには 日中両政府の技巧と強さとが要求されよう。
China could become like “some countries in Latin America if [the leadership] fails to come up with appropriate measures” (People’s Daily, October 4). Another CPS academic, Xin Ming, noted that the goal of harmony presupposed benevolent and symbiotic interactions among China’s disparate interest blocs. “Different groups can realize the goal of win-win or become multiple winners,” he said, adding that these blocs can, through cooperation, “make the cake bigger so that each can have a bigger share” (People’s Daily, September 27).
The rocks of the BBC's cultural assumptions are starting to fall apart somewhat: witness its second thoughts on its commitment to multi-culturalism. More reassessments will follow and the BBC, if it has any sense, should welcome them. As it wrestles with the inevitable decline of its audience in the digital age, impartiality is that rare problem for the BBC ? it's one that it can actually do something about.
Alas, by propping up corrupt regimes while raiding Africa of its resources, China is doing nothing that Europe and the United States haven't done, which is why pontification from the likes of Wolfowitz rings very hollow in Beijing. Nonetheless, China's policies in Africa are bound to lead to a dead end.
Respect for human rights has never been at the top of the agenda for communist Chinese leaders. But there are more hardheaded reasons for a change in course. China is in grave danger of repeating the West's money-losing mistakes.
The Maastricht treaty has turned the Eastern Europeans into second-class citizens. The belated recognition of this fact is starting to have the predictably ugly impact on the politics of Europe’s eastern periphery. But before getting too indignant about the injustices to Eastern Europe, let us spare a thought for the citizens of old Europe who are privileged to “enjoy” full membership of the eurozone. The latest budgetary crisis in Italy may well be averted and the Prodi Government will probably survive for a few more months. But as Signor Prodi’s huge tax increases begin to bite, the Italian economy is almost certain to sink back into recession. Moreover, there will be no chance of Italy tackling any of its real economic problems once unemployment starts rising next year.
What Italy needs today is competition, privatisation of grossly inefficient state -sponsored utilities, deregulation of the financial system and changes in labour laws. Such reforms can be hard to implement even in a booming economy. In a stagnant or declining one, they will become impossible.
To make matters worse, Italy will be tightening its budget at the same time as Germany implements the biggest tax increases in its modern history ? also in deference to the Maastricht Treaty, if not under quite such direct compulsion from the EU. These simultaneous fiscal blunders in Italy, Germany and Eastern Europe will almost mean another “lost year” for the euro zone, with economic performance falling far behind America, Britain and Japan. But the long-term consequences could be more far-reaching.
At some point the people of Europe will realise that there is something rotten in a political system that leaves them forever in the world economy’s slow lane ? and which cannot be changed by any democratic process, regardless of how people vote.
[T]his report actually was not as bad as the headline number would have you believe. The major reason for the sharp deceleration in growth was that the housing sector took over one percentage point out of growth. … Basically, you really don't have a weak economy if consumers are consuming, businesses are investing, exports are growing and imports are strong. -- Joel Naroff, Naroff Economic Advisors 住宅産業の低迷でGDPが1%くらい減速、しかし経済のほかのセクターは悪いわけではない 個人消費が強く、企業の投資も継続。
[T]here are indications that growth will accelerate, at least moderately, in the fourth quarter as the housing correction slows and net exports deteriorate more slowly. -- Steven Wood, Insight Economics 次の4Qに住宅産業の低迷に変わって、経済を穏やかに成長させるものが出てきそうな兆候が
[T]he markets are already split between [inflation] rebound or further softness in the fourth quarter. We expect the latter, triggering a Fed ease [of interest rates] in March. -- Ian Shepherdson, High Frequency Economics 4Qに成長が更に鈍化するのではないかと予想、その場合来年3月にFEDの利下げがあり得る
[T]he Fed got the moderation in growth that it was expecting and hoping for … However, any expectations of Fed easing at this point would be very premature, in our judgment, as demand growth was fairly solid outside of housing and, partly fueled by real income gains from lower energy prices … we continue to expect the next move from the Fed to be a rate hike, but we see such a move as being data dependent and not occurring until the January/March timeframe. -- John Ryding, Bear Stearns エネルギー価格低下で住宅産業以外の需要は強いものが。所得増加もそれを助けていてFED の利上げの可能性が無くなったわけではない。しかし、その動きは来年1Qになるだろう。 (以下省略) #景気の強さやFEDの動きについての予測はまちまちで、統一的な見方は無いような。 #4Qへの楽観論も悲観論もあって、観測はまだら模様。
US will not impede nuclear arms debate in Japan: ambassador
TOKYO (AFP) - The United States sees no need for Japan to develop nuclear weapons but would not try to stop an emerging debate in the country on the long-taboo issue, the US ambassador here said.
NANPING, China Guards in green fatigues waved down a 40-ton truck at the Nanping customs crossing from China to North Korea, inspecting papers before allowing it to rumble onto the bridge into the isolated state. The truck, part of a daily convoy, returns the same day laden with iron ore to feed the Chinese steel industry, the world's biggest.
As many as 45 trucks cross into North Korea at Nanping each day, returning in the afternoon with as much as 1,800 tons of ore from a mine in Musan, North Hamgyong Province, estimated to be the biggest in Asia outside Australia, with reserves of 2.2 billion metric tons. The flow has not slowed since China criticized North Korea for detonating a nuclear bomb on Oct. 9.(ry
Although on a smaller scale than in the new capital, Myanmar's government is concurrently developing military, communications and transport infrastructure in a corridor that runs directly north from Naypyidaw to Pyin Oo Lwin, the town where the army's Defense Services Academy (DSA) training facility is situated.
A:そうした記事は、全体の一部をスナップショットしたものだと思う。国連決議1718の 実施は、様々なレベルで各種分野にわたって計画され実施されるべきものであり、国 務省は中国政府が国連安保理決議1718の実施について真剣に取り組むと確信している (We are very confident that the Chinese Government is going to take very seriously its responsibilities and duties to implement 1718)
いうまでも無く、決議案1718の実施は各国によってその実施手順が決められるもので 国により手法などの違いがある。国務省の確信することは基本的に中国政府が決議案 1718を遵守すると決定を下したことである。 ( We are very confident that the Chinese Government has made a fundamental decision with regard to 1718 and that it will vigorously comply with the obligations under 1718, as will other countries in the region. This is an even more acute problem for North Korea's neighbors than it is for the United States.)
Optium is the latest new technology stock to garner strong investor support. Earlier this month, telecom-equipment supplier Acme Packet Inc. gained 67% on its debut; in September, a trio of tech offerings -- DivX Inc., Riverbed Technology Inc. and CommVault Systems Inc. -- also made double-digit gains. All remain above their IPO prices. 今月に入って、テレコム器機のAcme Packet Inc(+67%)、さらにテクノロジーのトリオの ベンチャーであるDivX Inc., Riverbed Technology Inc. 、 CommVault Systems Inc. など が二桁の値上がりを見せている。
The UBS/Gallup Index increased five points from September and 26 points from August.
The 10-year-old survey began in October 1996 at 124 points. The survey peaked at 178 points in January 2000, and dropped below 124 points (to 106) for the first time in December 2000. In the past 71 months the survey had not again reached 124 points, and had only pushed past 100 points four times -- in January and March 2002, and in December 2003 and January 2004.
The biggest change is among Republicans. Last week, 50 percent of Republicans said America was making progress in Iraq (35 percent said we were losing ground). This week 65 percent of Republicans say we’re making progress and only 22 percent say we’re losing ground.
In light of North Korea's nuclear test, the United States and South Korea have agreed to develop a new contingency plan to take military action against North Korea in scenarios short of North Korea attack or in response to a catastrophic "collapse" in the North, Washington Post reported on Oct.28.
The new revised plan - CONPLAN 5029 -focuses on preemptive action to thwart North Korean moves involving potential export of weapons of mass destruction.
The new revised plan - CONPLAN 5029 -focuses on preemptive action to thwart North Korean moves involving potential export of weapons of mass destruction.
Pentagon sources confirm that the new plan will be the first joint U.S.-South Korean plan to take action against North Korea even if the North does not invade or attack the South first.
The development of offensive war plans vis a vis North Korea follows two tracks under the Bush administration: The first relates to a general desire on the part of Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld for the military to develop more flexible and timely contingency planning to deal with a broader set of political-military challenges, challenges that go beyond only responding to military provocations by potential adversaries. The second relates specifically to weapons of mass destruction and the national U.S. policy of preemption.
William M. Arkin, a former Army intelligence analyst and consultant, has written extensively about military affairs, including several books on the topic. In 1994, his "The U.S. Military Online: A Directory for Internet Access to the Department of Defense" was published. It's now in its second edition.
2)WaPoの記事は公開された情報ではなく、ペンタゴンのソースを基に書いていると している。 (Pentagon sources confirm that the new plan will be the first joint・・・)
3)10月10日に韓国の国防部が5029を見直す、アメリカの計画に合意したと書いている。 (On October 10, U.S. and South Korean planners agreed to review CONPLAN 5029 and expand the list of potential North Korean WMD scenarios that might necessitate military action. )
【ロンドン29日共同】上院(貴族院)議員の推薦に絡んだ英政界の選挙資金融資疑惑で、 ブレア首相が直接関与の「重要人物」として浮上したと29日付の英日曜紙サンデー・タ イムズが報じた。ロンドン警視庁は11月末までに首相から事情聴取することを望んでい るという。同紙は1面トップで「警察がブレア首相に迫る」との見出しを掲げた。首相聴 取となれば7カ月に及ぶ捜査は大きな節目を迎える。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2087-2426786,00.html October 29, 2006 Police close in on Blair over donors David Leppard and Robert Winnett
LABOUR’S chief fundraiser has implicated Tony Blair as the key figure in the cash-for-honours scandal, a well-placed source has revealed.
But the success of the get-out-the-vote effort depends on putting a reliable army of volunteers into the field, and some worry about the sour mood among Republicans this year. Rove and Mehlman have tried to ensure quality control by recruiting experienced operatives to supervise key state operations.
CHINA has taken a turn to the left just as foreign investors are lining up to place their bets on a capitalist future by buying shares in its biggest bank. 中国は外国人投資家が、中国の将来に資本を投じようとして、中国最大の銀行の株式を 買う為に並んでいるときに、左向きに舵を切った。
A world record $19 billion (£10 billion) was raised in the biggest flotation ever when the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China sold shares to investors ahead of its debut on the Hong Kong and Shanghai exchanges last week. 先週、香港と上海の株式市場で、中国の銀行ICBCは史上最大の株式上場となり$19B を集めたが、 The state will retain majority control over the bank, making its partial privatisation a model for the way China’s new rulers see the future. 中国政府は銀行の過半数の株式を保有し、銀行を部分的な民営化にとどめた。それは中国 の将来に向けてのルールのモデルである。
Significant new policies mean a decisive shift back towards state intervention. This is likely to have important implications for foreign investors and manufacturers and may lead to higher wage costs, stronger unions and stricter regulation. 中国政府の大きな政策変更で、政府の干渉を許す重要な後戻りが見られる。この事実は外国人 投資家や製造業の企業にとって、今後により高い賃金、強い組合、厳しい規制があるだろうこ とを意味する。(後略)
Two new documents from the Chinese government, disclosed officially but little noticed abroad, left no doubt that “leftist” factions have won the argument to rebalance economic policy after two decades of a dash for growth at any cost.
First, he said dissatisfied young people were leaning to the left “because they have no memories of starvation in Mao’s time”. 第一に不満を抱えた若年層が左傾化する。彼らには毛沢東政策の失敗の記憶は無い。
Second, ordinary citizens had turned left because they were sick of the bureaucratic corruption that had flourished under reform. 第二に、普通の国民は市場経済の発展の中で起こった役人たちの腐敗にうんざりして 左傾化する。
Third, Jiang argued, the barons of state-owned industries were hanging on to their power and trying to stop free-market reform. 第三に、国営企業のボスなどが、自分の地位を守るために市場経済の改革を止めようとする
And, finally, he said, Hu Jintao and his comrades were afraid of a complicated modern economy but familiar with orthodox ideology. そして最後に、胡錦涛とその同志達は複雑な近代経済を怖れていて、オーソドックスな共産 主義のイデオロギーに慣れ親しんでいる。
Western media op-ed writers, apparently relying on precious little on-the-ground background, have highlighted the fact that ousted prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra was a democratically elected leader and therefore any non-elective move against him was necessarily bad for the future of Thailand's democracy. 西欧の新聞論調は選挙で選ばれたタクシン政権を軍事クーデターで倒すことはタイの民主 主義にとって良くないといった、現実の背景を殆ど理解しないような見解を述べている。
Such simplistic interpretations, however, just don't fit with the current Thai situation and woefully ignore the reform mentality of professional generals(ry そういう単細胞の解釈は現実のタイの状況にフィットせず、将軍たちの改革志向を無視した 誤った見方であって(ry
Because of its overtly patriotic motives to protect rather than undermine Thailand's democracy under a constitutional monarchy, Sonthi's coup marks a watershed in Thai military affairs. (クーデター実行側の)大変愛国的な動機と、タイの民主主義を蔑ろにするのではなく、 立憲君主制の下での民主政治を守る動機から起こっていて、このことはタイの軍事につい ての分水嶺と言うべき(ry
Many Western observers still fail to appreciate the essential role played by King Bhumibol Adulyadej in maintaining Thailand's enviable political stability, economic progress and social harmony. 多くの西欧人はブミポル国王の果たす、タイ政治の安定化、経済成長、社会的調和への 維持における重要な役割を依然として理解できていない(ry
Projected Tally Senate This week: 51 GOP, 47 DEM, 2 IND - DEM +3, GOP -4, IND +1 Last week: 50 GOP, 48 DEM, 2 IND - DEM +4, GOP -5, IND +1 House This week: 216 GOP, 219 DEM, 0 IND - DEM +17, GOP -16, IND -1 Last week: 213 GOP, 222 DEM, 0 IND - DEM +20, GOP -19, IND -1 Governorships This week: 21 GOP, 29 DEM - DEM +7, GOP -7 This week: 23 GOP, 27 DEM - DEM +5, GOP -5 このサイトの主は保守系。
RCP:世論調査のデータで選挙結果を予測することの難しい理由 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー Michael Baroneの書いている解説で、実際の選挙結果を左右する「投票率」の問題について 述べているもの。世論調査に答えた人が、実際にその通り投票を行なうかは定かではない。
3)民主党も共和党も、支持者たちを投票所に足を運ばせる為のボランティアによる狩り出し作 戦を行なっている。2004年の場合、民主党は特にCleveland and Madison, Wisc., in St. Louis and Gainesville, Fla. Nationallyなどで大規模な運動を行い、この地区でケリー の得票はゴアのそれを16%上回る成果を上げている。運動の効果は明瞭である。
PM Abe has appointed Prof. Masaaki Homma, formerly a member of the Council of Economic and Fiscal Policy (CEFP) under the Koizumi government, to head the Government Tax Council. ・・・・ Key elements of the economic policy platform are also becoming clearer. For example, in the tax reform area, three major items are high on the agenda: tax deferrals for international triangle mergers, a reduced corporate income tax rate, and highly accelerated depreciation schedules. ・・・・ The Abe government has scored points with investors and voters in foreign policy as well. PM Abe’s early trip to China signaled his desire to revive political relations between the two countries. ・・・・ Market implications
My sense is that the focus on quarterly earnings is so strong now that investors may be missing the positive evidence on the new government. Indeed, some optimists are beginning to think that the Abe government may exceed the Koizumi government in comprehensive reform measures. So far, the earnings season has been good, and equity prices are up. When investors wake up and smell the policy coffee, I believe that the sustainability of profits will seem better, and equity markets could well rise further. ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー アラン・フェルドマンの安倍政権に対する評価は大変好意的で、マーケット・インプリケーシ ョンに書いているように「安倍政権は小泉政権を上回る改革志向かも」という受け止め方。 それは、株式市場にとってポジティブな要素であるという。
Petroleum-based products account for about 3% of the CPI, so a 10% decline in the crude oil landed price would result in a 0.1ppt decline in the core CPI inflation rate. 日本経済では石油価格の10%下落はCPIの0.1%の低下をもたらす。
Moreover, significant slack (manpower, capital, land, etc.) exists in regions outside of major metropolitan areas, so we think that the economy has an unusually large amount of excess supply capacity. In any case, both a bottom-up and top-down perspective appear to indicate that commodity prices will be extremely stable. 日本のコモディティ物価の上昇余地は大変少ない。
Going forward, we expect two rate hikes of 25bp each, one in January-March of 2007 and one in July-September. We think the first increase will come in January. しかし日銀は来年1Qに0.25%、3Qに0.25%の利上げをすると予測する。
Given the above, the time span for rate hikes could be unusually long, and the policy rate could end up at about mid-1% towards 2008. Even so, Japan’s policy interest rate would still be well below the neutral rate of 2.5-3%. We think that Japan’s financial environment will continue to be extremely accommodative, thanks to yen depreciation caused by a de facto carry trade spurred on by overseas households. 日本の金利上昇は大変緩やかなもので2008年にかけて1%半ばであろう。これは中立的な 金にである2.5%−3%以下の水準に留まることを意味する。
台湾のカーニバルのパレードで、漫画キャラに扮した副市長と子供たち Taichung Deputy Mayor Hsiao Chia-chi, second left, dressed up as a cartoon character, smiles yesterday as he holds the hands of two young children during a carnival parade ttp://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/photo/2006/10/30/2005060622
Republicans Who Rally [Kathryn Jean Lopez] By the way: If Republican political geeks and activists ruled on Halloween night, the most popular costume this year would be Nancy Pelosi. Boy does she seem to be a motivator with the grassroots types. For folks like Melissa Hart who seem not to be running the best campaigns ? in addition to all the other drawbacks of being Republican this year ? Scary Nancy may be a great blessing come E Day. Posted at 8:41 AM ttp://corner.nationalreview.com/
ttp://www.finfacts.com/irelandbusinessnews/publish/article_10007848.shtml News : International Last Updated: Oct 30th, 2006 - 15:02:43 Rising US personal income in September suggests that jobs growth and declining oil prices are helping counter the impact of a struggling housing market By Finfacts Team Oct 30, 2006, 14:56
Latest News! 10/26/06 Transcript of the August 22, 2006 hearing on China’s Financial System And Monetary Policies: The Impact On U.S. Exchange Rates, Capital Markets, And Interest Rates.
ttp://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2006hearings/transcripts/aug_22/06_10_22_trans.pdf HEARING BEFORE THE U.S.-CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION ONE HUNDRED NINTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION AUGUST 22, 2006 Printed for use of the United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission Available via the World Wide Web: www.uscc.gov UNITED STATES-CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION WASHINGTON:October 2006
PANEL I: THE CONDITION OF CHINA’S FINANCIAL SYSTEM PANEL II: CHINA’S WTO FINANCIAL SECTOR COMMITMENTS PANEL III: CHINA’S MONETARY POLICY, CAPITAL CONTROLS, AND EXCHANGE RATES PANEL IV: THE MACROECONOMIC IMPACT OF CHINESE FINANCIAL POLICIES ON THE UNITED STATES (他にも多くの報告書がうpされている)
このほかに年次報告書 2006 Annual Report The U.S.-China Commission announces Notice of Open Meetings to Prepare the 2006 Annual Report to Congress. DATE AND TIME: Monday-Friday, October 23-27, 9:30 a.m. - 4:30 p.m 年次報告書の記者会見は11月16日に行なう November 16, 2006 Press Conference to release the 2006 Annual Report to Congress ? Details to be announced soon.
HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: So you tell us that even if they fully committed to carrying out these and you think they're not carrying them out in the spirit, that there's an enormous other problem, and that you can never get really full access to that market to operate as you would like to. MR. JUDGE: That's correct. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: Under their WTO agreement. So that has to be a whole new negotiation to get you that additional leverage. MR. JUDGE: It does. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: If, per chance, China had good securities firms, do they have a full right now under WTO to get full access to the U.S. financial market? MR. JUDGE: They do. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: They do. MR. JUDGE: Yes, they do. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: So there is a disparity here in what we agreed to. We don't. We're restricted there, but they can get full access here when they come to that stage? MR. JUDGE: When they get to that point. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: Yes. MR. JUDGE: Our challenge is to try to use every lever we have to try to open up that market even more and to get them to agree to full ownership for our firms. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: Yes. MR. JUDGE: And we have to use, whether it's further WTO negotiations, bilateral negotiations, to do that. HEARING COCHAIR MULLOY: Thank you. That's very important for us to understand how that's working because we're charged by our charter to look at how the WTO obligations are being carried out.
ニューヨーク・タイムズ10月30日意見投稿 「北朝鮮を人権問題として論ぜよ」 ヴァーツラフ・ハヴェル・チェコ前大統領、チェル・マグネ・ボンデヴィク・ノルウェー前首相、 エリー・ウィーゼル・ボストン大学教授(1986年ノーベル平和賞受賞) Turn North Korea Into a Human Rights Issue By VACLAV HAVEL, KJELL MAGNE BONDEVIK and ELIE WIESEL ttp://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/30/opinion/30havel.html?_r=1&oref=slogin 国際社会ではこれまで10年以上の間、北朝鮮国民の苦難を論じると核開発についての交渉の 妨げになるという声が強かった。だが、この手法は北朝鮮の核開発を止めることも、北朝鮮国民を 助けることもできないことが、金正日の最近の行動で明らかになった。…国連安保理は、各国は 国民を最悪の人権侵害から守る責任があると全会一致で議決したので、新しい外交手段が現れた。 …われわれの報告書はまず国連安保理が、北朝鮮に次のことを促す懲罰的でない決議を採択する よう勧めている。国土を人道援助関係者に開放すること、政治犯の釈放、国連人権特別報告者の 訪問を認めること、国連による人権問題への関与を認めること。潘基文・次期事務総長が 仕事始めとしてこの深刻な状況を安保理に報告されんことを乞う。
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The United States set out an ambitious agenda on Monday for transforming NATO into a global security organization at a summit next month but acknowledged that some European allies have misgivings. 米国はNATOをグローバルな安全保障組織に転化する野心的な目標を掲げ、来月のサミット で話し合う。しかし欧州諸国のなかには異論もある。
U.S. NATO ambassador Victoria Nuland said the 26-nation alliance had gone beyond debates about whether to act outside its Euro-Atlantic area, deploying forces on four continents in the last 18 months, most importantly in Afghanistan. 米国のNATO大使であるVictoria Nulandは欧州大西洋地域を越えてNATOが活動する事 への議論があり、アフガニスタンなど他地域への兵力派遣の継続について議論したと述べた。
Diplomats said France was most reticent about accepting a global role for the U.S.- led alliance, of which it has been a prickly, semi-detached member since General Charles de Gaulle pulled French forces out of allied military command in 1966. 外交官らに拠れば、フランスがアメリカ主導のグローバルな役割を引き受けることに最も消 極的である。フランスはドゴール時代にNATOから兵力を引き上げた歴史がある。
Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and Spain also had reservations about appearing to rebrand NATO as a world policeman, they said. 英、独、ルクセンブルグ、スペインなどもNATOを世界の警察官にすることについて留保 するところを示している。
Many European allies were spending less than NATO's unofficial minimum of 2 percent of gross domestic product. NATOの非公式目標である各国のGDPの2%を軍事費に投入することについては欧州諸国 のなかにそれに達していない国も多い。
Politically, Nuland said the NATO council was now discussing global issues far beyond the Euro-Atlantic area, such as the nuclear programs of Iran and North Korea. Nulandによれば、NATO委員会は現在、欧州大西洋地域を越えて、イランや北朝鮮の核問題 を議論しているという。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー 欧州とアジア太平洋地域に別々の集団安全保障構造を作るか、NATOを拡大するかという議 論であればNATO拡大、アジア地域の諸国(日豪印・・・)の加盟のほうが技術論敵には簡 単そうに見えるけれど、是は大きなテーマなので簡単には決まらない・・GDP2%というNA TOの軍事費の(最小限)ガイドラインも日本国内では問題になりそうな。
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil fell nearly 4 percent on Monday to below $59 as investors put money into other commodities and waited for signs OPEC members would adhere to their pledge to cut crude supply. U.S. light crude <CLc1> settled down $2.39 at $58.36 a barrel. Brent crude <LCOc1> fell $2.40 to $58.68 a barrel.
"Within 24 hours of the official launch on Tuesday, there were over 2 million people using Firefox 2(ry リリース後24時間で200万人がファイアフォックス2.0をDL
By contrast, it took four days for Internet Explorer 7 (IE7) downloads to reach 3 million downloads(ry リリース後4日で、IE7のDLは300万人
The reason for Firefox's apparent success is at this point unclear, but one explanation is that, since Firefox users tend to be more fanatical and technology savvy than those of IE, they'd be more likely to download the new browser on the day of its release. この説明としてファイアフォックス利用者のほうがよりファナティカルで技術オタであると する説明があって、そうした人がリリース後に直ちにDLしたのだろうという・・・
For power users, Firefox once offered significant advantages over IE due to its tabbed browsing capabilities, coupled with the ability for third-party programmers to add features to the browser through "extensions". パワーユーザーにはファイアフォックスが・・・
部数が200万部を超えるUSAトゥデーとウォール・ストリート・ジャーナルは1%台の 減少を記録。両紙に次ぐ3位のニューヨーク・タイムズも前回は0・5%増だったが、今回 は3・5%減とマイナスに転じ、部数は109万部まで落ちた。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー While few big-city newspapers produced gains, New York's warring tabloids both advanced with the New York Post surpassing the Daily News. Circulation at the Boston Globe, owned by New York Times Co., fell by 6.7 percent.
At the New York Times, the average weekday circulation declined 3.5 percent to 1.09 million, while the Boston Globe's circulation fell to 386,415, the Audit Bureau said. Paid subscribers fell 3.3 percent to 656,297 at the Washington Post, owned by Washington Post Co.
New York's tabloids both showed gains, with News Corp.'s Post rising 5.1 percent to beat rival Daily News, owned by Boston Properties Inc. Chairman Mortimer Zuckerman. Daily News weekday circulation rose 1 percent to 693,382 from 686,274. ttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aSqc7C_qbkXQ&refer=home ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー マードックのやっているタブロイドのNYPが+5%というのは印象的な。同じような環境の NYデイリーニューズが+1%なので、やはりマードックは商売の勘が冴えているというべき なのかすらん? 確かにNYPはタイムリーなテーマの取り上げ方、タイトルのつけ方のイ ンパクトは他紙を凌駕するような。
The Daily News is still New York's Hometown Newspaper - and by a wide margin.
By an average of 44,917 copies each weekday and a whopping 395,228 on Sundays, The News remains the paper with the highest circulation in the all-important New York metro area, according to data released yesterday by the Audit Bureau of Circulations. わが社の新聞は週日は4.5万部、日曜日には39.5万部を売り上げており、依然としてNYC のNo1である。 ・・・ ・・・ The error-prone Post, which loses tens of millions of dollars annually, sells for a discounted 25 cents. (わが社の競合紙)エラーの多いNYPは赤字を出していて、25セントという安値で売っ ているわけで(ry
さらに問題が多いのは民主党の「テロとの戦い」におけるテロリストへの厚いシンパシー である。 Here's a clue: 90 percent of House Democrats voted against the NSA's Terrorist Surveillance Program; 80 percent voted against the terrorist interrogation bill. All these counterterror programs are at risk if House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi gets the speaker's gavel next year
Rep. Charles Rangel (D-Harlem), who'd become chairman of the powerful Ways and Means Committee, gave us a sneak preview of what the Dems might do: "You've got to be able to pay for the war, don't you?" You get the picture: No money - no war.
RCP SENATE RATINGS Dems Need Six For Control 上院は民主党が+6議席なら逆転 RCP Avgs Project: Dems + 5 現在の予想で、民主党+5議席
RCP HOUSE RATINGS Dems Need 15 For Control 下院は民主党が+15議席なら逆転 -------GOP HELD SEATS------- LEANS DEMOCRAT (10) 現在、共和党から民主党の奪いそうな議席が10 ・・・ TOSS UPS (15) 激戦、混戦の選挙区が15
Given the fluidity and uncertainty in this election and because so many of these races are very close, a break one way or another at the end could have an exaggerated effect on the final result. A hard closing move toward Democrats could see most of the Toss Ups fall their way, as well as a significant number of the Lean GOP seats. On the other hand, a firming of the Republican base coupled with a huge GOP get-out -the-vote effort could see Republican losses considerably below the current conventional wisdom. Based on the top 50 seats, as well as the Likely seats in play, we could see Democratic pick ups as few as 7 and as high as 37.
This matters. Afghanistan is at the heart of a sensitive and important part of the world - not least because of its long and porous border with Pakistan, an unstable and nuclear-armed state. アフガニスタンは重要である。テロとの戦いにおいてそうであるだけでなく、核武装した パキスタンとの長い、抜け道の多い、国境腺を共有しているという事もある。
As Nato leaders prepare for a summit in Riga next month, they must recognise the importance of the mission and provide the means for its success. 来月、リガで開催されるNATOのサミットで、アフガニスタンの作戦を成功させることの 重要性が再確認されるべきである。
A winning strategy also requires much more from the world at large. There are some encouraging signs that the European Union is stepping up its efforts to help create an effective police force. But the United Nations, international donors and neighbouring Pakistan all have to work much more closely with Nato to prevent Afghanistan from slipping out of control. アフガニスタンでの勝利は、世界にとって大いに必要とされることなのであって、欧州諸国 が世界の効果的な警察官になるという意味合いが含まれる。しかし、それだけではなくて、 国連や国際的援助組織、隣国のパキスタンなどもNATOにより多くの協力をしてアフガニ スタンの無法化を防がなくてはならない。
Defeat would be a strategic calamity. Success, while extremely difficult, is still possible. Every effort is necessary: Afghanistan is still to play for. アフガニスタンの敗北は戦略的な苦難を意味する。勝利は、大変困難であるにせよ、依然可 能であって、全ての努力が為されなくてはいけない。
SEOUL (Reuters) - North Korea has agreed to return to stalled talks on ending its nuclear programmes, South Korean media quoted a source in China as saying on Tuesday. 北朝鮮が6者協議に戻ることに合意したと韓国メディアが中国のソースを元に報道した。
The agreement was reached at an informal meeting among officials of North Korea, China and the United States, the source was quoted as saying by KBS radio and YTN TV. この合意は、中国、米国、北朝鮮の非公式会議で為されたと韓国のKBSやYTNが伝えた。
ttp://www.ketv.com/news/10197707/detail.html A Chinese Foreign Ministry statement said chief envoys to the negotiations from China, North Korea and the United States held an informal meeting in Beijing Tuesday that produced the agreement to resume larger six-nation talks. The statement said the talks will resume "at the earliest convenient time."(AP)
"I am pleased and I want to thank the Chinese," the president told reporters in the Oval Office, after meeting with Andrew Natsios, his special envoy on Sudan. ブッシュ大統領は「これを歓迎する。そして中国の努力に感謝したい」と述べた。
ttp://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,226447,00.html Hill said the United States and other countries are making clear they don't accept North Korea as a nuclear state. ヒル国務次官補は、アメリカ始め各国は、北朝鮮の核武装国としての地位は決して承認しな いと述べた。
"We are a long way away from our goal, still. I am very pleased, we are very pleased that the DPRK is committing to return to the talks, to implement the statement. But someone who has been involved in this, I have not broken out the cigars and champagne quite yet, believe me," he said. 「道のりは長いが、それでも歓迎すべきことではある。北朝鮮の6者協議復帰は喜ばしいこと で合意を実行すべきである。しかし長らく交渉に関わってきた者として、私自身は今の時点 で葉巻の封を切り、シャンペンのコルクを抜くべきではないというのが正直なところだ」
In the bi-annual Outlook Report today, the BoJ has shown a clear intention through an upbeat outlook for the output gap to continue a measured pace of rate hikes. At the moment, wages, personal consumption and prices remain weaker than the BoJ scenario as it admits, while the corporate sector is stronger. However, the BoJ has conveyed a strong message to the market by leaving its scenario largely unchanged on the view that this imbalance should be resolved during the forecast period over the next year-and-a-half. 日銀の今日発表した日本経済のアウトルックでは、経済の回復基調が変わらないとし、現時 点出は賃金、個人消費、消費者物価などに弱さが残るものの企業収益は好調であり、この インバランスは今後の1.5年程度で解決されるとのシナリオを示した。
Meanwhile, the potential risk of the above mentioned scenario is that both the domestic and the overseas economies would not pick up very much from October- December, contrary to the scenario. Domestically in particular, we are concerned about the first drop in industrial production for five quarters in October-December, owing to adjustments in the IT area, and we do not expect production-related data in October and November, which should come out before the policy board meetings in December (December 18-19) and January (January 17-18), to give a very strong boost to economic sentiment. We think this could deal a blow to the BoJ officials’ interest in making a rate hike perhaps before the end of 2006. 日銀の描く経済回復シナリオへのリスクは国内と海外の景気の弱含み傾向で、10-12月度の 経済成長はさほどの強さにならないと予想される。国内においては鉱工業生産の低下が気が かりである。これはIT産業の調整からきており、短期的には急回復しないと見られる。こ のため日銀の年内の利上げの可能性は殆どないと見られる。
Nothing underscores China's financial rise in this century more than this month's share sale by Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. The biggest initial public offering in history attracted orders equivalent to twice Citigroup Inc.'s market value for the 48.39 billion shares sold on Oct. 20. 今月行なわれた中国の銀行、ICBCのIPO(株式公開売り出し)では歴史上最大の 48.38Bの株式が売られ、シティグループの時価総額の2倍の値になった。
Those who got a piece of the deal may fancy themselves as winners. They now have a pivotal stake in the China-growth story: 1.3 billion consumers growing richer by the day and itching to spend, borrow and become a vibrant market for everything from cars to mutual funds to cosmetics to food. IPOに参加した人たちは大もうけで勝者を気取っている。彼らは13億人の中国人が豊か な消費者になるという成長ストーリーを買っている。中国人が日々に豊かになり、融資を 受け、自動車から投資信託から食品から化粧品までを消費するというストーリーである。 ・・・・ ・・・・ Webb's best guess? ``More bad debts will accumulate and gradually be recognized as such until the banks start to run out of capital. Then we will have our first post-IPO Chinese banking crisis. My guess is it will take about five years from now. It takes time for bad loans to be recognized.'' 香港の証券取引所のボードメンバーであるDavid Webbは「ICBCの不良債権が今後も増 加し、徐々にそれが認識され、いずれは銀行は資本を失うだろう。そうなれば我々は最初 のポストIPOの中国銀行の危機を見るのだろう。私はそれが5年後に起こると思う。不良 債権が認識されるのは時間がかかる為である」という。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー William Pesekは常にもまして、歯に衣着せぬ口調でICBCの株式売り出しのインチキ を糾弾している。不良債権問題などのICBCの抱える問題を隠して大金を集めるやり方 を非難しているのだけれど、このIPOにはアメリカの金融機関も一枚絡んでいるので、 独立系のWilliam Pesekのような人だけが、言いたいことを言っている。
Looking under the surface, though, it's hard not to wonder what some of these buyers are thinking. Just as investors who had rushed indiscriminately into dot-com shares in the 1990s regretted it, so may those betting on Chinese banks. このICBCの株式の投資ブームは90年代のドットコムブームに浮かれるのと同じと言う。
Shifts in the Tide The bottom line: There's still room for movement in lots of House races. People like me can predict results in each district, but if we're playing fair and not putting lots of races in a tossup category, we're going to be changing our minds every day on which party is ahead in more than a few races. Posted at 05:24 PM by Michael Barone
North Korea’s agreement to return to the six-party talks is more likely to be a tactical move than a strategic decision to give up its new-found nuclear status, analysts said on Tuesday. アナリストは北朝鮮の6者協議復帰は、核武装国の地位をあきらめるような戦略的な決定で はなく、戦術上のものであろうと言う。
Convincing North Korea to return to the talks was a difficult task but diplomats say that achieving progress at the next round of talks will be even more challenging. “We should not just be meeting for the sake of meeting,” said the South Korean official. “When you sit down at the dining table you need something to chew on we don’t want to sit down to empty plates.” 6者協議で進歩を実現することは極めて困難であろう。
Some analysts predicted that Kim Jong-il’s regime is likely to make new, unrealistic demands. アナリストの中には北朝鮮が法外な要求を持ち出すと予想する人もいる。
Recently Pyongyang has again been insisting on the need for “corresponding measures” to be taken, leading some North Korea watchers to believe it will use its newly-proven nuclear status to insist on being treated as the US’s equal. 北朝鮮が核武装国としてアメリカと同等に扱われるべきだと主張するだろうと予想する アナリストもいる。
Earlier this month, Japanese Prime Minister Abe made historic visits to Beijing and Seoul where he eased anxieties and began to define expectations about the region’s future. We applaud overtures like this and we stand ready to do whatever we can to support them.
This emerging pattern of cooperation among the major powers of Northeast Asia will help us to meet the challenges of the 21st century, particularly the proliferation of the world’s most dangerous weapons and the means to deliver them.
Q&Aのなかで、「何故、日本に核武装を勧めないのか?」と問われて;
But the Japanese have answered this question. Japanese Prime Minister Abe and the Foreign Secretary Aso have said that Japan does not intend to pursue an independent nuclear path.
I think it is extremely important that Japan knows that the United States is going to fully defend Japan and live up to the commitments that we have taken, beginning with the 1960 Mutual Defense Treaty; that we would use the full range of our capabilities to deter and defend attacks or threats against Japan.
Q&A、「韓国は未だにサンシャイン政策を捨てていないが、その韓国を支持するのか?」
Well, we’ve had discussions with our South Korean colleagues about the relationship. Look, we understand that this is a complicated set of issues for South Korea: occupying the same Peninsula;
The only thing that we ask is that everyone remember, including South Korea, that the North Koreans have just set off a nuclear device in South Korea’s backyard. That requires a strong response of the kind that Resolution 1718 is.
So I think that China has made some important decisions here and in terms of the breadth and depth of our relationship it is a very broad, broad and deep, complex relationship. As we have always said, we try to build on those areas where we have common purpose and areas of cooperation. And where there are differences, and they still remain, we'll try to talk in an open, honest manner and focus on how do you resolve the differences.
But certainly we have worked very well together with China, I would say, since the beginning of the six-party talk process. And you heard President Bush today specifically thank the Chinese Government for its efforts in getting this next round of talks together. They were the ones who originally came to us last week with a proposal for this meeting format related to the six-party talks. I think it was probably last Wednesday.
And Secretary Rice talked about the proposal with some of her advisors. She certainly talked about it with her counterparts and folks at the White House as well, and then we gave a positive answer that we would intend to go on -- I think it was Friday. So we worked on the logistics of it. Chris Hill, our Assistant Secretary for East Asia and Pacific Affairs, was still in the region so we put him on an airplane to Beijing and had the meetings earlier today.
NORTH KOREA'S decision to return to the "six party" negotiations on its nuclear program is, first and foremost, a victory for China and its strategy of preserving Kim Jong Il's totalitarian regime. Whether it will contribute to the cause of dismantling the North's atomic arsenal remains to be seen. 北朝鮮が6者協議に復帰することになったが、これは中国の北朝鮮を保護する戦略の勝利で あり、金正日の全体主義政権を永らえさせようというものだが、それが核廃棄につながるか どうかは、今後を見てみないと解ら無い。
「復帰」が固まると、ブッシュ大統領は記者団の前に姿を見せ、スノー大統領報道官も、 「大統領の戦略が正しかったことを示すものだ」と“成果”を強調したが、舞台裏の出来事 は、米国の政策にはなお迷いがあることを物語っている。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー この事情は31日の国務省記者会見やライス長官のTVインタビュー ttp://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2006/75418.htm nterview on Kudlow and Company With Larry Kudlow October 31, 2006 で話していることをまとめたもの。しかし、この記事は妙にアンチアメリカ風味の味付け で書かれている。そうした具合に事態が変化したのはWaPoの言うように中国の強力な 締め付けのためで、
It appears China responded toughly: Though it supplies up to 90 percent of North Korea's oil, none was delivered in September. This blunt use of economic leverage -- if that's what it was -- is encouraging, and yesterday's announcement was evidence that it can get results. ttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/31/AR2006103101361.html
The Institute for Supply Management, a purchasing managers' trade group, said Wednesday that its manufacturing index fell to 51.2 in October, from 52.9 a month earlier. The new-orders component of the index, which offers a glimpse of potential manufacturing activity, fell to 52.1 from 54.2. Any number above 50 suggests expansion, ISMの10月度の製造業指数は、前月の52.9から低下して51.2となった。新規受注指数は 54.2から52.1に低下した。この指数は50以上で活動の拡大、50以下で減少を示すもの。
Still, some economists believe any downturn in manufacturing will be short-lived, because consumer demand remains healthy. Data on September personal income and consumption, for example, suggested that people have money and are willing to spend. Drew Matus, economist at Lehman Brothers in New York, says many company executives are probably holding back, not because they can't find customers but because they're wary of investing in production until they have a better idea of the depth of the downturn in the housing market. 住宅産業ブームの終焉が経済成長を低めていることは良く認識されているが、一部のエコノ ミストは製造業の減速は一時的に留まるとする。消費需要が依然活発であることがその理由 で9月の個人所得や消費のデータはそれを示す。
ttp://powerlineblog.com/archives/015724.php Tennessee's Harold Ford has called on Kerry to apologize. In Montana, Democratic Senate candidate Jon Tester says: Senator Kerry's remarks were poorly worded and just plain stupid. He owes out troops and their families an apology. テネシー州の(民主党)Harold Fordはケリー議員に謝罪を求めた。モンタナ州では民主党の 知事候補Jon Testerが「ケリー上院議員の発言は不適切で馬鹿げている。彼は兵士とその家族 に謝罪すべきだ」と述べた。
Meanwhile, commenters on left-wing web sites are divided between those who say Kerry's statement was obviously a joke, and those who say Kerry shouldn't be criticized for telling the truth about the military. こうしたリアクションのあるなか、リベラル側のWebサイトはこの問題で意見が二分して いて、一方はケリー上院議員の発言は明白なジョークだといい、別の一方はケリー上院議員 の言っていることは軍隊についての事実だから謝罪の必要は無いという。
Needless to say, this isn't the story the Democrats wanted to create, entirely needlessly, during the last days of the campaign. 民主党陣営は選挙中なので、この騒ぎが収まるように願っている。
"I said it was a botched joke. Of course, I'm sorry about a botched joke," Kerry, who refused to apologize on Tuesday, said on the "Imus in the Morning" radio show on MSNBC, calling his comments "pretty stupid."
ブルームバーグ:ICBCのお祭り騒ぎに浮かれている時ではない By William Pesek ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー William Pesekの書いている批判的なトーンの中国経済の現状分析。中国の経済政策決定者 にとっては過熱化を防止するために重要な時期に来ているとする。
It's a daunting balancing act, really. The central bank must try to regulate China's work-in-progress economy without traditional tools such as a highly liquid bond market. And even if so-called hot money is slowing, thanks to policy steps taken by the government, the central bank is very much in the hot seat.
Triple Whammy
While much of the world slows down for the holidays, China's central bank will have to step up efforts to maintain the current level of bond and money-market interest rates. On that front, Green says, the People's Bank of China faces a ``triple whammy of liquidity.'' ここで論じているのは、膨大な貿易黒字からくる外貨収入、海外からの民間直接投資資金、 そして投機的なホットマネーの流入という事態を中国の中央銀行が管理しなくてはならな いと言った状況。
Too Much Money Moreover, the IMF said, ``without a significant further tightening of monetary policy, a continued rise in credit growth would fuel a further increase in investment growth that would likely be followed by price declines in overcapacity sectors and an associated rise in banks' nonperforming loans.'' そうした中国へ流入する過剰なマネーフローのために、過剰融資、過剰投資が続き不良債権 を増大させる可能性がある。 (後略)
ttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2006/11/jumping_the_shark.html In other words, though the GOP won a lot of districts nationwide - relatively few of them, only 10.6%, came from districts that could, at the time, be considered reliably Democratic. 89.4% of them came from swing or conservative districts. This is the Democrats' major limitation this year. They just have relatively few Republican-held districts, about 15, where Kerry beat Bush in 2004.
This is why the major question this year - the one that nobody has the answer to -- is: what happens when the structural advantages that the Republicans enjoy in the House are challenged by a briskly negative voter sentiment?
My feeling is that one of two results is possible: (1) the GOP's money and incumbency advantages will secure most of their vulnerable seats in swing or Democrat-leaning districts, thus giving them at best a slight edge in the House or at worst a slight Democratic majority; (2) the GOP's money and incumbency will not secure these vulnerable districts and the Democrats, though the playing field is relatively small, will win a very large percentage of the challenged districts, thus securing a functional majority of 223 or more (i.e. a net of 20+ seats). Right now, I am in camp (1), though I think that a slight, but non-functional, Democratic majority is the most likely result. Michael Barone and I see eye to eye on the state of the House.
Overall, applying the same percentages to his total model would give the Democrats a gross of 24.75 seats. So - Cook sees 42.4% of Democratic gains coming from conservative districts.
Charlie Cookの予測モデルでは民主党の追加議席の42.4%が伝統的な共和党地域からくると して民主党が追加の24.75議席を獲得すると予測する。もしこういう結果が出るならば、伝 統的な選挙地盤の再修正(リアライメント)が起こっていると考えるべきかもしれない。 しかし筆者は現在そういう考え方を支持できない。(後略)
The United States has agreed to discuss financial sanctions within the six-country talks format, probably in a separate working group, but U.N. sanctions will continue. "For the talks to be successful, the North Koreans will have to deliver something and China is pressing them to do something concrete, ranging from a moratorium on more testing to bringing back (U.N.) inspectors to Yongbyon" nuclear complex, Green said.
Former officials agreed that pressure from China, Pyongyang's major food and fuel benefactor, was a major factor behind Pyongyang's decision. Green said reports China delivered no oil to the North in September was a plausible pressure point and Chinese moves against North Korea's financial assets has also had a big effect.(ロイター)
William Pesekは調査旅行で日本を訪問したローチに会ったようで、この問題についての ローチのコメントを記録している。
Japan has some unique aspects undermining wages. They include the phasing out of lifetime employment, concerns about the stability of the state pension system, a rapidly aging population and vivid memories of the nation's 15-year funk.
``But I don't think it's a coincidence that Japan is suffering from the same problem of labor-market compression that afflicts the rest of the industrialized world,'' says Roach, who is based in New York and has just completed one of his periodic fact-finding trips to Japan.
As is often the case when nations move from malaise to growth, euphoria trumps obstacles. Over time, though, ``reality often sinks in and there is a perfectly natural refocusing of attention to an economy's lingering stresses and strains,'' Roach says. ``That refocusing is now under way in Japan.''
With increasing frequency, candidates across the country are paying bloggers to write blogs, develop Web sites, connect with energetic allies on the Internet, respond to online critics, and advise their employers about how to behave in the blogosphere. Others are paid to do more traditional campaign work like communications consulting and opposition research. 選挙戦の候補者はお金を支払ってブロガーに記事を書いてもらい、Webサイトのデザイン を任せたりしている。ネットの中で支援者同盟を作り、ネットの批判に反論対抗する。 候補者やスタッフにネットの世界への対応方法を指導する。コミニュケーション・コンサル タントとして契約したり反対勢力の情報収集を請け負ったりする。
Their pay scales range from a few hundred dollars a month to a few thousand, with some of the bloggers earning top dollar for their expertise. 支払われる金額は月額数百ドル(数万円)から数千ドル(数十万円)であるがトップクラス のブロガーはさらに高額になる。
この記事には具体的なブロガーの名前や請け負った仕事、金額が列挙してあって、ちょっと 興味のあるところ。 Jon Corzine of New Jersey, who was elected governor of the Garden State in 2005. State campaign records show that Armstrong earned $24,000 for "media time" and another $15,000 for "Web site fees." From February through November of last year, Corzine also paid Matt Stoller, now a lead contributor at Armstrong's MyDD blog, nearly $31,000 for his work on the campaign's blog, Corzine Connection. Stoller netted another one-time fee of about $240 for "media time."
Federal Election Commission records show that Armstrong netted more than $100,000 in his work for Brown from April 2005 through this July. The payments were primarily for Web design, hosting and services. Forward Together, the political action committee that Warner created as he pondered a presidential bid, had paid Armstrong $65,000 for "computer consulting services" through September, the last figures available.(後略) ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー アメリカで起きることは時間遅れで日本にも伝播することが多いので、そのうち日本にも 選挙の助っ人として「2ちゃんコンサルタント」とかいったものが登場する鴨(?)
November 01, 2006 -- Nielsen//NetRatings (NASDAQ: NTRT), a global leader in Internet media and market research, announced today that 36.6 percent of U.S. adults online are Republicans, 30.8 percent are Democrats and 17.3 percent are Independents. ニールセンの行なった調査に拠れば、アメリカでネットにつないでいる人の36.6%が共和党 支持者、30.8%が民主党支持者、17.3%が独立系である。
ある種のWebサイトは、共和党か民主党の支持者が一方的に多く、政党支持者が固まって いるものがあって: Table 1: Top 5 Sites among Republicans and Democrats (U.S., 18+ Online Population) Site Site Composition - Composition - Site Republican Site Democratic -------------------------------------------------------------------------- RushLimbaugh.com 84.8 BlackAmericaWeb.com 79.9 NewsMax.com 65.4 AOL BlackVoices 64.8 Bill O'Reilly.com 65.4 BET.com 58.6 Drudge Report 59.0 Salon.com 55.3 Salt Lake Tribune 57.9 Village Voice 55.2
Newspaper of Choice Political party members also have distinct tastes in online newspapers. WSJ.com has predominantly Republican readers, at 40.2 percent. Democrats make up 25.8 percent of WSJ.com's readership, closely followed by Independents at 24.3 percent. The New York Times online is a favorite among Democrats, who make up 52.3 percent of its readership. Independents compose 22.6 percent and Republicans 18.3 percent.
>>218 Table 1: Top 5 Sites among Republicans and Democrats (U.S., 18+ Online Population) Site Site Composition Composition - Site Republican Site Democratic -------------------------------------------------------------------------- RushLimbaugh.com 84.8 BlackAmericaWeb.com 79.9 NewsMax.com 65.4 AOL BlackVoices 64.8 Bill O'Reilly.com 65.4 BET.com 58.6 Drudge Report 59.0 Salon.com 55.3 Salt Lake Tribune 57.9 Village Voice 55.2
Political Leaning When respondents were asked about their political leaning, the largest segment, 36.1 percent, identified themselves as "Moderate." The second largest segment, 32.5 percent, identified themselves as "Conservative/Very Conservative," while 19.8 percent of respondents identified themselves as "Liberal/Very Liberal."
Demographics Perhaps contrary to assumptions about who's a Democrat and who's a Republican, neither party seemed to favor a particular gender or age group. Among racial groups, African Americans skewed Democratic; with a composition index of 231, they were over twice as likely to be Democratic as the average Web user. Asians were 36 percent more likely than the average Web user to be Democratic, and Hispanics were 28 percent more likely. White people were slightly more likely to be Republican.
A plan by a nationalist Japanese prime minister to revise the country's pacifist postwar constitution will inevitably revive lingering concerns in Asia and the west about a possible return of the militarism that did so much damage in the 1930s and the 1940s. 日本のナショナリストの首相である安倍氏による、平和憲法の改定については、日本が1930 年代、1940年代に行なった軍国主義によって与えた大きなダメージのために、アジア諸国や 西欧に日本が昔に戻るのではという拭い切れない憂慮を呼び起こす事が避けられない。
安倍首相は中国との関係をうまく進めており、靖国神社(東京にある兵士や犠牲者と共に戦争 犯罪者を祀る神社なのだが)への首相参拝問題のゴタゴタの火を消した(defusing the vexed issue)それは小泉首相の5年間に問題になってきたことであるが、安倍氏は首相就任10日目に 中国首脳とのサミットでそれを行なった。
安倍氏は最初の戦後生まれの日本の首相であり、その問題の処理に当たっては、公的に靖國神 社を参拝するか否かを明言することは避けながら中国と友好的に手を携えるという手法に出て いる。中国は靖国神社問題に異常なほどこだわってきたわけだが、今や安倍首相が靖國神社を 参拝せず、60年を経た憲法の穏当な改正については文句を言う事が難しいだろう。 (China, having focused almost obsessively on Yasukuni, will now find it hard to complain about modest revisions to a 60-year-old constitution provided Mr Abe does not actually visit the shrine.)
日本は強力な軍隊(自衛隊)を現実には保有しているが言葉の上で無花果の葉っぱのよう に隠し事をして誤魔化していると書くあたりは英国人らしい皮肉っぽさ。 (a verbal figleaf to cover up the reality of Japan's powerful navy, army and air force is maintained by calling them the "Self-Defence Forces")
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - North Korea has the ability to put a nuclear warhead onto a medium-range missile and threaten its regional neighbors, especially Japan, some U.S. experts believe. 北朝鮮はミサイルに搭載可能の核爆弾を有するとする見解が一部のアメリカの研究者によっ て表明された。これは中距離ミサイルの到達可能な隣国、特に日本にとって大きな脅威であ るとしている。
"We've assessed that North Korea can put a warhead on a Rodong," said physicist David Albright, who heads the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington. ワシントンにあるシンクタンクISISの所長であるディビッド・オルブライトは「我々は 北朝鮮がノドンに核爆弾を搭載することが可能だと見ている」という。
"What you're trying to do is reduce the diameter to fit inside a re-entry vehicle. You can do that with a crude nuclear weapons design," he added. 「必要なことはミサイルにあわせて(核爆弾の)口径を小さくすることであり、それは核爆 弾の設計が初歩的なものであっても可能なことである」
John Pike, director of the Alexandria, Virginia, online think tank GlobalSecurity.org, agrees. "I have never been able to understand why there would be any doubt about North Korea's capacity to put a nuclear weapon on a medium-range ballistic missile. They've had it for several years," Pike said. バージニアのシンクタンクGlobalSecurity.orgのジョン・パイクもこれに賛成する。「北朝鮮 の中距離ミサイルに核爆弾が搭載できないと考えるほうが不思議だ。彼らは何年もそれを研究 しているのだから」
"Even if there's only a 10 percent probability that they've produced a few warheads and put them on Rodong missiles, that could still be enough to deter the United States because the possible effect on Japan is catastrophic," said Daniel Pinkston, Korea expert at the Monterey, California-based Center for Nonproliferation Studies. カリオルニア、モントレーの核不拡散研究センターのDaniel Pinkstonは「北朝鮮が核爆弾を つくり、ノドンに搭載できる可能性が10%であったとしても、それはアメリカへの抑止力とし て充分なものになる。何故ならそれが日本に与える影響は壊滅的であるからだ」という。
Democrats have at least slim leads in races for six of the seven most vulnerable Republican Senate seats, giving them a shot at winning control of the Senate on Tuesday, according to Reuters/Zogby polls released on Thursday. ロイターゾグビーの火曜日に行なった世論調査に拠れば、中間選挙の上院議員選挙について 競合している7つの選挙区で民主党が6議席を確保する可能性が高まり、過半数を僅かに上回 る可能性が出てきた。(後略)
"Things are getting bad... and perhaps we have to look again at our presence there," he told a conference in Athens. "We have to decide if the persecuting of bloggers reaches a point that it's unacceptable to do business there." "We try to define those levels and the trends are not good there at the moment. It's a moving target."
Microsoft Corp. is entering into an unusual partnership with Novell Inc. that gives a boost to the Linux operating system, a rival to the software giant's Windows software, according to people familiar with the companies. マイクロソフトは近日中に Novell Inc.と販売提携支援の契約を結び、同社のSuse Linuxの 販売サポートを行なう予定。今日のサンフランシスコのカンファレンスで発表予定。
So what's going on here? Will these talks that also include the US, South Korea, Japan, China and Russia be about counterfeiting - or nukes? The answer is that North Korea's leaders must have that money for payoffs among one another, all presumably at the behest of Dear Leader Kim Jong-il, as part of the program for controlling the country's top leadership. The figures, by the standards of any normal country, would appear infinitesimally small, but obviously have a lot to do with manipulation of the levers of power over mysterious, restive factions.
The fact that China went along with UN sanctions shows the Chinese wanted North Korea, as a vassal state dependent on Chinese aid, to accede to their demands to stop the nonsense and return to talks. China, however, blocked a much stronger version of the sanctions, advocated by Japan, that would have called for military action. 中国が安保理制裁決議に賛成したという事実は、中国が、中国の支援に頼っている北朝鮮の ナンセンスを止めさせ、6者協議に復帰することを求めたと言う事であるが、同時に中国は 日本などの求めるより強い制裁を阻止したい。
If the talks go nowhere, they have the advantage of putting off North Korea's rise as a serious nuclear power capable of much more than detonating a small device for propaganda purposes. One has to assume, however, that the talks will break down, sooner or later, while the US and others come up with other ways to cope with North Korea's nuclear ambitions. 6者協議が行き詰まるとしても、北朝鮮が(追加核実験の実施などにより)小規模の核を プロパガンダ用に爆発させる以上のことができる、シアリアスナ核武装国として台頭する ことを遅らせることは出来る。しかしながら、アメリカや他の国が北朝鮮の核に対抗する 方策を整える中、遅かれ早かれ6者協議は破綻することを見込まざるを得ない。
ttp://corner.nationalreview.com/ Senate internals [Rich Lowry] Here's what I'm hearing. The numbers for last night looked a little better than the night before. (Possible Kerry effect?) In TN and MO the GOP internals have those races basically tied, with maybe the Republican slightly ahead. I have no explanation for why the public polls have such a different result on the TN race, with Corker way ahead. Allen is about two points ahead. Chafee is closing, getting within about 5, with Whitehouse continuing to see erosion in his fav/unfav. Kyl still up 6 in AZ, down from where he was before, but still a nice lead. Nothing good for the GOP is happening in OH or PA, but that's not news. And, sorry, I forgot to ask about MD.
Officially, the Bush administration is “pleased” ? as President Bush put it on Wednesday ? that North Korea has agreed to resume talks on nuclear disarmament. But behind closed doors at the White House and the State Department, some are less happy, saying the country’s nuclear test should be answered with isolation. ブッシュ政権は、大統領府も国務省も歓迎を表明している。
“What’s a good description? Fantasy? Dreamworld?” said Nicholas Eberstadt, a North Korea expert with the American Enterprise Institute in Washington. “All we’re doing with these hapless efforts at conference diplomacy is continuing to talk while North Korea continues to build nuclear weapons.” AEIのニコラス・エバーシュタットは時間稼ぎに過ぎないと極度に批判的。
There is “zero chance” that the talks will persuade North Korea to dismantle its nuclear program, said John Tkacik, a senior research fellow at the Heritage Foundation and a former State Department diplomat. “My Machiavellian mind tells me that the Chinese have worked out a deal with the Russians and the North Koreans that if North Korea comes back to the six-party talks, the main issue will not be denuclearization, it will be counterfeiting.” ヘリテージ財団のジョン・ターシックは協議成功のチャンスはゼロという。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー NYTらしいブッシュ政権叩きの記事になっているけれど、それはさておき、今回の 「ブレークスルー」を国務省が予想以上に高く評価しているらしい事は事実で、記者 会見で広報官が中国が基本的な立場を変えたと賞賛していた。
Quinones said, "the price for a diplomatic resolution will be far higher than it would have been last year." The next round could start before the end of the year.
QUESTION: I have a follow up Treasury and North Korea. There is sort of a twin report from South Korea that Treasury will lift some of the frozen assets, North Korean assets. And the other was that Mr. Hill asked the Chinese to do likewise. Do you -- this is a South Korean report. 韓国メディアが、DBAの北朝鮮の凍結された金融資産をアメリカが解除するといっている? ヒル次官補は、そうする事を、中国側から要請されたと報道しているが?
MR. MCCORMACK: No, I don't think those -- not to my knowledge. Certainly not the part about Chris Hill. I don't believe the Treasury part is accurate, but just to confirm, you should check with them. それは誤りと思う。ヒル次官補についてそういう事実は無い。財務省については財務省に 確認して欲しい。しかし、私は報道が誤っていると思う。
QUESTION: Thank you.解りました。ありがとう。
MR. MCCORMACK: I don't believe either of those are accurate. どちらの事項も、事実とは思われない。
QUESTION: Japan's announced that they are requesting North Korea hand over a woman involved in the 1978 kidnappings. I think that's occurred today. Is that going to complicate in your opinion the talks or does that in no way impinge on U.S. policy? 日本政府が北朝鮮に、曽我さんの拉致事件関連の加害者の引渡しを要求したようだが? これは6者協議を複雑化するものであるか?
MR. MCCORMACK: No -- well, we fully support the efforts of the Japanese Government to get back their citizens who have been abducted. 否。アメリカ政府は日本政府の拉致事件解決、拉致被害者奪還の努力をフルにサポートする。
0.5%の引き上げで市場から1500億元(約2兆2000億円)程度の資金を吸収する効果がある。 前回過熱が問題になった2004年は利上げと預金準備率の上げがそれぞれ1回しかなく、投 資はすぐ盛り返した。今年はすでに計5回。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB116255267405712491.html?mod=rss_whats_news_asia China Central Banks Raises Reserve Requirement Ratio DOW JONES NEWSWIRES November 3, 2006 6:48 a.m.
The move is likely to surprise many economists, who had expected the PBOC to keep banks' required reserves steady until at least the end of this year to assess whether the economy was slowing sufficiently without the need for further tightening measures. 多くのエコノミストは預金準備率の引き上げは予測していなかった。少なくとも年内はそれは ないと見ていたので、この決定は驚きである。
The PBOC said the monetary policy measures taken this year have "somewhat" eased excessive liquidity, but China's trade surplus and "new problems with excessive liquidity still exist" in the banking system. The PBOC said it will continue to implement a prudent monetary policy to promote steady credit and money supply growth and a stable overall economy. 中国人民銀行は金融政策が幾分か流動性の過剰をきたしており、貿易黒字の増大などの問題 があるとしている。人民銀行は更に経済の安定化とマネタリ・サプライや信用供与の安定化 の為の政策を進めるとしている。
非農業部門の雇用者数は8月に23万人増に改定。9月は前月の発表時に5万1000人増と低い伸び だったが、改定値は14万8000人増と大幅に上方修正した。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB116256044617612537.html?mod=home_whats_news_us U.S. Adds 92,000 Jobs To Nonfarm Payrolls Unemployment Rate Drops to 4.4%, Lowest Level in More Than Five Years By BRIAN BLACKSTONE November 3, 2006 12:04 p.m.
WSJ:10月度新規雇用は9.2万人、失業率は4.4%と5年来の低さに
Though the October job gain was below Wall Street expectations of a 125,000 increase, the prior-month revisions signal that the report was better than expected. And the unemployment rate was well below expectations for an unchanged 4.6% rate. Wages came in slightly above expectations for a 0.3% rise.
The figures are likely to offset fears of a sharp U.S. slowdown and may raise concern among Federal Reserve officials who have warned that tight labor markets pose an inflation risk.
What to say about such a victory? Substantial, yes. Historic, no. Before proclaiming a landslide, one has to ask Henny Youngman’s question: “Compared to what?’’ (His answer to: “How’s your wife?’’) この民主党の勝利を、どう呼べばよいのだろう?重要な変化と言うなら、Yesであるけれど、 歴史的な事件、というならNoである。地滑り的勝利とか言う言葉を使う前に、思い出してみ るべき台詞はHenny Youngmanの「何に比べて言うのか?」と言うもので、これは彼が「奥様 は如何お過ごしですか?」という質問に答えたものである。
China's economy is not, despite lightning growth, going to provide enough jobs requiring tertiary study for many years. Meanwhile, many graduates will have to make do with a job at Starbucks, their dashed expectations another nail in the coffin for President Hu Jintao's "harmonious society".
Roach: Fair point ? both Germany and Japan definitely look better to me these days. And as someone who has long focused on the imperatives of global rebalancing, it is great news to see the world’s second and third largest economies on the mend.
But in both cases, the improvements have been focused on the corporate side of the ledger ? led by impressive performance in productivity but without any meaningful follow-through from domestic private consumption. For US exporters to benefit from improvements in Japan and Germany, those economies need to deliver more in the way of internal demand.
So far, that remains more of a hope than reality ? raising serious questions about the notion of a seamless handover from the American consumer to consumers elsewhere in the world.
"They're going to look for ways to make sure that when we do go back to the table in the six-party talks that the talks really do aim at implementing the agreement that was signed in September of 2005, and that we don't just go back to talk, that we go back for concrete action," Rice told radio show host Laura Ingraham, referring to the two diplomats' mission. (バーンズ、ジョセフ国務次官のアジア諸国訪問は)昨年9月の6者協議の合意事項である 核廃棄を実行する方法を固めてゆく為で、我々は北朝鮮に対して断固たる行動を求める。
"They're coming back to talks in which China has made it very clear that it will not support North Korea's behavior," she added. "No one has to worry about anybody going wobbly." 中国は北朝鮮の6者協議復帰について、北朝鮮の(核実験などの)行為を支持しないと明確 に言っている。
The documents, roughly a dozen in number, contain charts, diagrams, equations and lengthy narratives about bomb building that nuclear experts who have viewed them say go beyond what is available elsewhere on the Internet and in other public forums. For instance, the papers give detailed information on how to build nuclear firing circuits and triggering explosives, as well as the radioactive cores of atom bombs. この文書類は1ダースばかりのもので、図面、ダイアグラム、数式や専門家による長文の 原爆作成についての解説を含んでいる。普通ネットで入手できる情報を超えるものである。 例えば、ある論文は原爆の起爆について、爆発物のトリガーについて、また原爆のコアに ついて詳細な情報を与えている。これはイラクから回収された主にアラビア語の文件のア ーカイブで、DNIなどによって内容が前もってチェックされていない。
NYTはこの文書類を入手して半ダース程の核技術専門家に評価を依頼した。 Peter D. Zimmerman, a physicist and former United States government arms scientist now at the war studies department of King’s College, London, called the posted material “very sensitive, much of it undoubtedly secret restricted data.” ロンドンのキングス・カレッジの物理学教授Peter D. Zimmermanは「大変センシティブで 多くの部分は秘密にされるべきデータであることはあきらか」と述べた。
Aしかし、この記事の反響はNYTの意図した、政府批判であるよりは、その逆であって、 「やはり、サダムは原爆開発意図があったことが明白ではないか」と言うものでイラク侵略 を正当化させるもの、とする意見が・・ ttp://media.nationalreview.com/ NYT Nuke Scoop Backfires 11/03 11:21 AM - Press Patterns
NRO(メディアブログ):NYTの核技術文書スクープは逆効果に
A quick look at Memeorandum is usually a good way to tell whether a big story is helping Republicans or Democrats. In general, if it benefits Republicans, the story is boosted up the rankings by conservative bloggers, with just a few liberal ones linking to criticize it, and vice versa if the story helps Democrats. In the first few hours after the NYT posted its scoop about the Iraqi nuclear documents that were posted online, the buzz on Memeorandum was pretty evenly split. But as of this morning it's dominated by conservative voices. メディアの記事は、それが民主党にとって(選挙戦の宣伝の上で)有利なら民主党系のブログ で取り上げられ、その逆であれば共和党系のブログで話題になるのだがNYTの核の技術文書 発見の記事はイラクの核技術者の作った文書なので、最初は意見が分かれていたが、その後に 保守系の議論が支配的になっている。
Those are just a few of the ways in which the NYT's scoop is inadvertently reminding people why we invaded Iraq and destroyed Saddam's regime. If we hadn't, we would have three crazy dictators on the verge of possessing or actually possessing nukes, and Saddam ? with his hatred of the United States and history of aggression ? would have been inarguably the most dangerous of the three. 皮肉なことにNYTの記事はアメリカがサダム支配下のイラクを侵略したことを正当化させる 方向に作用するところがあって、アメリカがそうしなければサダムが世界にとってより危険な 存在になっていた事は確かだと証明するようなものであるからだ。
Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, UAE and Saudi Arabia seek atom technology THE SPECTRE of a nuclear race in the Middle East was raised yesterday when six Arab states announced that they were embarking on programmes to master atomic technology. アルジェリア、エジプト、モロッコ、チェニジア、UAE、サウジアラビアの6ヶ国が核技 術開発に取り組むと昨日発表し、中東アラブ諸国の核開発競争に参加を宣した。
The move, which follows the failure by the West to curb Iran’s controversial nuclear programme, could see a rapid spread of nuclear reactors in one of the world’s most unstable regions, stretching from the Gulf to the Levant and into North Africa. 西欧諸国によるイランの核開発抑制の失敗に対応した動きであり、世界の中でも不安定な 中東湾岸諸国から北アフリカ地域にかけて、原子炉や核技術の拡散する恐れがある。
The countries involved were named by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as Algeria, Egypt, Morocco and Saudi Arabia. Tunisia and the UAE have also shown interest. アルジェリア、エジプト、モロッコ、サウジアラビアが参加し、チェニジアとUAEが検討中。
All want to build civilian nuclear energy programmes, as they are permitted to under international law. But the sudden rush to nuclear power has raised suspicions that the real intention is to acquire nuclear technology which could be used for the first Arab atomic bomb. これら全ての国は民生用途の原子力発電所の建設を望んでおり、それはNPTの許可する範囲 であるものの、急速な核開発へのラッシュが懸念を呼んでいる。諸国の真の意図がアラブの核 爆弾開発にあるのではと懸念される。
“Some Middle East states, including Egypt, Morocco, Algeria and Saudi Arabia, have shown initial interest [in using] nuclear power primarily for desalination purposes,” Tomihiro Taniguch, the deputy director-general of the IAEA, told the business weekly Middle East Economic Digest. He said that they had held preliminary discussions with the governments and that the IAEA’s technical advisory programme would be offered to them to help with studies into creating power plants. IAEAのTomihiro Taniguchは「エジプト、モロッコ、アルジェリア、サウジアラビアなど は原子力発電による海水淡水化に興味を示している」と中東経済ダイジェストに語っている。 彼によればIAEAと各国政府との議論があり原子力発電所建設の検討の為にIAEAの技術 アドバイザリー・プログラムが提案されている。
Mark Fitzpatrick, an expert on nuclear proliferation at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said that it was clear that the sudden drive for nuclear expertise was to provide the Arabs with a “security hedge”. IISSのMark Fitzpatrickによれば、アラブ諸国の急激な核開発へのラッシュは「安全保障 のヘッジの為」であることは明確である。
“If Iran was not on the path to a nuclear weapons capability you would probably not see this sudden rush [in the Arab world],” he said. 「イランが核爆弾への道を進まなければ、こういった急速なアラブ諸国のラッシュはなかった はずだ」という。
The announcement by the six nations is a stunning reversal of policy in the Arab world, which had until recently been pressing for a nuclear free Middle East, where only Israel has nuclear weapons. 最近まで中東の非核化がアラブ諸国の政策であり、イスラエルだけが例外であった。6ヶ国の 核技術開発計画の発表は急激な政策変更である。
Egypt and other North African states can argue with some justification that they need cheap, safe energy for their expanding economies and growing populations at a time of high oil prices. エジプトや北アフリカ諸国は安全で安価なエネルギー源が必要といった議論をすることが可能 である。石油価格が高騰しており、非産油国にとって石油価格が経済の重石になる。
The case will be much harder for Saudi Arabia, which sits on the world’s largest oil reserves. Earlier this year Prince Saud al-Faisal, the Foreign Minister, told The Times that his country opposed the spread of nuclear power and weapons in the Arab world. しかし、サウジアラビアのような世界最大の石油埋蔵を持つ国にとっては原子力発電は正当化 しにくい。今年始め、サウジの外相、Saud al-Faisal王子はロンドンタイムズに語ってサウジ アラビアはアラブ諸国の原子力発電や核爆弾開発に反対すると述べていた。
Since then, however, the Iranians have accelerated their nuclear power and enrichment programmes. しかしながらイランが核開発を急ぎウラン濃縮を進めている(ためにアラブ諸国の政策が変化 した)
The latest information about the economy leaves no question that it has slowed down by just about every measure ? housing and manufacturing, retail sales and job growth, and others. 最近のデータをみれば、アメリカ経済は冷却化しており、殆ど全ての指標で、住宅市場、製造 業、小売業うりあげ、雇用増加などがそれを示している。 ・・・・ ・・・・ Most Americans are ill prepared for an economic deceleration, even if it ends in a soft landing. 殆どのアメリカ人は経済の後退に対する準備が不足であり、それは経済後退がソフトランディ ングに収まったとしてもそうである。
When economic basics like income and insurance coverage are taken into account, most working families are no better off now than they were when the economic expansion began in late 2001. 世帯収入や保険カバレッジのような基本的な項目を計算に入れた場合、殆どの勤労者世帯は 2001年後期の経済拡大の起こった時期に比べて現在の状態が良いとは言えない。 (後略) ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー 余り真面目に翻訳する気になれない典型的なNYTの「お先真っ暗論」で、こういう社説を 平気で掲げるあたり、最近のNYTには多くの疑問を感じる。
America’s Bureau of Labour Statistics now suggests that unemployment has dropped to 4.4%, the lowest level in five years?and better than all but the last two bubbly years of the Clinton administration, to which campaigning Democrats have often implicitly offered a return. アメリカの失業率は4.4%となり、5年ぶりの低さでクリントン政権のバブルの最後の二年間 以外を凌駕する。
Average hourly earnings grew more than expected in October, at an annualised pace of nearly 5%. More pertinently, for the Republicans, the data show earnings are up by almost 4% since last year. And though labour-force participation is still lower than it was, this is not necessarily a sign of a weak market. Overheating economies often draw marginal workers into the labour force, but in a way that is not sustainable. 時間当たり平均賃金は予想以上に成長し、年間5%近い高い成長である。雇用の全体はかって のピーク時より依然低いものの、これは労働市場の弱さを示すものではない。過熱化した経済 はしばしばマージナルな労働者を雇用するからである。しかし、そうした状態は持続可能な ものではない。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー 普段は慎重で悲観主義に傾くことの多いエコノミストでさえ、アメリカの労働市場や企業収益 の好調は明確に評価する。NYTなどのリベラルメディアは滅茶苦茶としか言いようが無いと 思ふ。
Q:What specifically do you have in mind when you say cooperation in energy and the environment?
A:China and Japan are both importers of energy. It is important to cooperate to secure energy. So it would be best if, instead of trying to take energy off each other, they cooperated. China has low energy efficiency. Japan's efficiency is very high…As China's energy consumption increases, since it is a country with such a huge population, there may be problems that arise. If we use Japan's technology to increase China's energy efficiency, that would be good, not just for Japan-China relations, but for the world as well. It is also important for Japan to provide technology to improve the environment.
Q:In energy cooperation, would that include the gas fields [in dispute]?
Is this a late breaking election? That’s something Washington experts don’t think about. They come to their conclusions early, and presume the rest of the country is like them. The Senate numbers are showing that pulling a Michael Moore-style attack on Bush may not have been productive in Maryland; will we see it elsewhere now, as people start making up their minds?
Anyway, back to Obi: he said a while back, Senate races will lead the House races as indicators. And it's kind of hard to see the Republicans doing well in the Senate races and getting blown out in the House. Because I respectfully doubt this last- minute shift is based on personalities and not policies. Is Corker cruising on raw charisma? Has the human embodiment of electric excitement that is Conrad Burns set hearts across Montana a-flutter? Maybe Steele, Talent, and Kean... we'll see.
ttp://levin.nationalreview.com/ NROのマーク・レビンのブログ Tuesday 11/04 04:18 PM Ok, since so many of you have asked, I will make my predictions, for what they're worth. I believe the Democrats will gain a net two Senate seats. If I am right, this will be a huge defeat for Democrat party. The Democrat leaders believe they will take the Senate, and they won't. In the House, I believe the Democrats will come extremely close to taking control ? not because of some mandate, but because too many Republicans have been subjected to last-minute
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In the Internet age, political blunders never die. They don't even fade away. Ask John Kerry. インターネットの時代には政治的な失態は、決して忘れ去られることはない。それは消え去る 事はない。最近のケリー上院議員の失態がそれを示している。
"Virtually anything anyone of note says is going to be public and repeatable and visible. There is almost no margin for error among public people any more," said Stephen Hess, a former presidential speechwriter and professor of media and public affairs at George Washington University.
"With YouTube you can put something up in 10 seconds, and within a week the whole world sees it," he said. ようつべにビデオをうpすれば(それが政治家の失態とか面白いものなら)一週間以内に全世 界の人がそれを見るような時代なのだ。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ケリー上院議員は、駄目学生イラク送りの不適切発言のおかげで、次回の大統領選挙での候補 者に選ばれるチャンスが消えたというのが一般的な観測。今や、政治家(や有名人)は一言の 失言でその社会的地位を棒に振るようなことになりかねない。あな恐ろしや、ネットの時代;
ttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601070&sid=aS6rty0V7uio&refer=politics Gamblers are voting with their money. Recent betting on political future contracts at TradeSports.com, an online unit of the Dublin-based Trade Exchange Network Co., gives Democrats a 69 percent chance of winning the House. Democrats have a 29 percent chance of capturing the Senate and a 24 percent chance of gaining majorities in both chambers, based on wagers.
On the Iowa Electronic Markets, run by the business school at the University of Iowa in Iowa City, Democratic chances of taking over the House were 74 percent, up from 43 percent at the beginning of the month, and 33 percent of taking the Senate. IEM put the probability of Democrats controlling both chambers yesterday at 25 percent, up from 14 percent Oct. 1.
On Betfair, a privately held U.K. Internet gambling exchange, the odds of Republicans holding the House were about 3- to-1 against, and about 1-to-2 for the Senate. London-based Ladbrokes Plc, the world's biggest publicly traded gambling company, isn't handicapping the U.S. midterm elections.
BBCが集めたコメント。米国だけでなく、英国、スペインなどが評価するコメント。 ロシアが批判のコメントを出しているほか、アムネスティ・インターナショナルが死刑 反対に加えて裁判は公正ではないというコメントを出している。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/03/AR2006110301779.html Hussein Verdict Near After Trial With 'Serious Shortcomings' By Ellen Knickmeyer Washington Post Foreign Service Saturday, November 4, 2006; Page A01 WaPoは批判的な記事を掲載。 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-trial5nov05,0,7950918.story?coll=la-home-headlines First trial of Hussein is ending amid doubts Today's verdict could send the former Iraqi leader to death. But questions persist about the court's fairness. By Borzou Daragahi, Times Staff Writer November 5, 2006 LAタイムズも批判的な記事を掲載 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー しかし、日ごろからイラク戦争に批判的なNYT, BBC, CNNなどは事実を報道 するだけの記事を掲載していて、今のところ批判的な言辞は見られないような。
ttp://media.nationalreview.com/ NROのメディア・ブログ You may have heard that more than 6.8 million new jobs have been created in the last three years, or that the economy has grown faster than any other major industrialized nation over the past four quarters, or that a steep drop in gas prices is keeping costs down for American families, or that after-tax income is up by nearly 10 percent since President Bush took office, or that the unemployment rate is at a 5-year low. But forget all that?the NY Times editorial board has found the dark cloud in that silver lining and determined, despite the all the good economic news for real families, that: increased wages are a “sign of coming layoffs,” and that millions of new jobs are just “an aberration.”
A nationwide Pew Research Center survey finds voting intentions shifting in the direction of Republican congressional candidates in the final days of the 2006 midterm campaign ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー >>315 のワシントンポスト/ABCの世論調査が8ポイント改善しているのと同じ傾向を 示していて、こちらは7ポイント改善している。選挙戦の最後の時期に、これだけ大きく シフトするようでは、選挙結果の予測はますます困難になってくるような。
Republican gains in the new poll reflect a number of late-breaking trends. First, Republicans have become more engaged and enthused in the election than they had been in September and October. While Democrats continue to express greater enthusiasm about voting than do Republicans, as many Republican voters (64%) as Democratic voters (62%) now say they are giving quite a lot of thought to the election. About a month ago, Democratic voters were considerably more likely than GOP voters to say they were giving a lot of thought to the election (by 59%-50%). As a result, Republicans now register a greater likelihood of voting than do Democrats, as is typical in mid-term elections.
The Republicans also have made major gains, in a relatively short time period, among independent voters. Since early this year, the Democratic advantage in the generic House ballot has been built largely on a solid lead among independents. As recently as mid-October, 47% of independent voters said they were voting for the Democratic candidate in their district, compared with 29% who favored the Republican. Currently, Democrats lead by 44%-33% among independent voters.
"What I've seen in the last two weeks is a surge by Republicans," said Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina. Republicans were "beginning to come home," he said, while independents were increasingly worried about how Democrats would handle taxes and national security. "We're going to do better than I thought two weeks ago," he said on CNN. ttp://www.iht.com/articles/2006/11/05/news/vote.php
ttp://www.slate.com/id/2152629/ Surf's Down? Late polls show the Dem "wave" shrinking. By Mickey Kaus Updated Sunday, Nov. 5, 2006, at 5:16 PM ET
Slate:波乗りの失敗? 最近の世論調査では民主党の「波」が縮小中(部分抜粋) By ミッキー・カウス
In 2002, remember, it was a generic ballot shift at the last minute--downplayed by the NYT's Adam Nagourney--that signaled a disappointing day for Democrats. I don't expect that to happen this time, but ...
Update: A Pew poll also shows a dramatic tightening-- from an 11 point Dem advantage a couple of weeks ago to a 4 point Dem advantage this weekend. One more example and it will be a Trend. ... P.S.: Generic polls may be lousy indicators of what's going to happen in 435 House races, and any individual generic poll could be right or wrong. But when several such polls point in the same direction, it would seem to have some weight at least on the question of who has momentum. I actually expected a last- minute shift to the Dems. ... Of course, the last minute has not arrived yet. ... 11:49 A.M.
NYプレス:来るべきNYTの停滞や消沈 ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー NYTは「ハード・レフト」に舵を切って、その熱心な読者を失ったのだと説明する・・ What The Times ought to consider, but apparently hasn’t, is that its combination of editorial scandals and frantic political swing to the hard left is alienating a considerable portion of its once loyal readership. I’m not talking about the never -say-die loyalists?who won’t live forever? who still believe Sunday’s Times is a major cultural event, or the pundits from extremist publications like The Nation, The American Prospect, Salon and portions of the youngsters at The New Republic and Slate who continue to treat The Times’ editorial shrieking as gospel. Rather, look at the affluent reader in the metropolitan area who almost always votes Democratic (except perhaps for Bloomberg or Rudy Giuliani in his reelection bid), is pro-choice, against the death penalty and doesn’t mind higher taxes if they’re put to supposed good use.
最近のNYTの社説の程度の低さに呆れるという例を示して・・ A few recent examples: An Oct.8 editorial, “Roller Coaster at the Pump,” began, “It seems a little too convenient. As the stretch run to the midterm congressional election approaches, gasoline prices fall precipitously. The sudden shifts in prices seem to come out of the blue. And unlike copper or pork bellies, oil is a commodity always charged with political significance.” The writer went on to say that, contrary to various conspiracy buffs (some, no doubt, employed by The Times), that Bush press secretary Tony Snow was correct in saying that gas prices haven’t been “rigged” to affect the election. (後略)
* 2001 IIS memo directing its agents to test mass grave sites in southern Iraq for radiation, and to use "trusted news agencies" to leak rumors about the lack of credibility of Coalition reporting on the subject. They specify CNN. * The Blessed July operation, in which Saddam's sons planned a series of assassinations in London, Iran, and southern Iraq * Saddam's early contacts with Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda from 1994-7 * UNMOVIC knew of a renewed effort to make ricin from castor beans in 2002, but never reported it * The continued development of delivery mechanisms for biological and chemical weapons by the notorious "Dr. Germ" in 2002
* Iraqi Document: Saddam Regime Spying on the IAEA (Congressman Hoekstra is Right) * My October 5th E-Mail to the IAEA Regarding Saddam Re-Constructing His Nuclear Program * Detailed Design of Nuclear Weapons is Available on the Internet ( NYT and IAEA Are Liars) * JVERITAS Responds to the 11/3 NYT Article Regarding Iraq Nuclear Program. * 2003 Document: Hundreds of Palestinian Terrorists to Join Saddam And Fight US Troops * 2001 Doc: Saddam Regime Wants France To Provide Info About US Intelligence Work Against Iraq. * 2001 Iraqi Document: Saddam Approved the Re-Use of Nuclear Equipments * September 12 2001: Saddam Says 9/11 Was The Result of U.S Evil Against the World * March 2001 Document: Saddam Regime Plans to Strike American Presence and Interests * Iraqi Documents: Projects to Rebuild Saddam Nuclear Facilities
NYTより
Among the dozens of documents in English were Iraqi reports written in the 1990s and in 2002 for United Nations inspectors in charge of making sure Iraq had abandoned its unconventional arms programs after the Persian Gulf war. Experts say that at the time, Mr. Hussein’s scientists were on the verge of building an atom bomb, as little as a year away.
European diplomats said this week that some of those nuclear documents on the Web site were identical to the ones presented to the United Nations Security Council in late 2002, as America got ready to invade Iraq. But unlike those on the Web site, the papers given to the Security Council had been extensively edited, to remove sensitive information on unconventional arms.
The deletions, the diplomats said, had been done in consultation with the United States and other nuclear-weapons nations. Mohamed ElBaradei, the director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, which ran the nuclear part of the inspections, told the Security Council in late 2002 that the deletions were “consistent with the principle that proliferation-sensitive information should not be released.”
BEIJING -- China's trade surplus is expected to exceed US$140 billion this year, said an assistant to Commerce Minister Bo Xilai. Fu Ziying said at a forum in Beijing over the weekend that China's total trade position will likely reach $1.7 trillion this year. The trade surplus reached around $110 billion in the first nine months of the year, already exceeding the $102 billion in the full-year of 2005.
APEWの世論調査;民主・共和の支持は(50:39)→(47:43)へ7ポイント改善 ttp://pewresearch.org/reports/?ReportID=66 Republicans Cut Democratic Lead in Campaign's Final Days Democrats Hold 47%-43% Lead Among Likely Voters November 5, 2006
ttp://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2006/11/06/election_overview/ Democratic activists may not be able to emotionally survive another election night like 2004, which for many began with gleeful expectation that John Kerry would be president and ended with desperate plans to enter an ashram in Nepal.
The level of despair if the Republicans manage to hang onto both houses of Congress could only be described by a Sophocles or an Aeschylus.
The odds still favor the Democrats winning the needed 15 House seats and -- depending on how you read the polls -- the Senate is not out of reach. But, make no mistake, it is going to be a bumpy ride for the next 48 hours.
Newsweek's latest headline based upon its most recent poll is that republicans are losing any momentum they built over the last few weeks. Besides a potential problem with using a general poll to extrapolate trends in individual races, the poll data shows an odd movement among independents.
What I found was that in the most recent poll independents' preferences were broken down this way: % voting for or leaning republican: 26% % voting for or leaning democrat: 51% % undecided: 23%
Compare that to the previous poll where the percentages were 34%, 39% and 27%, respectively, and you have the explanation for the "loss of momentum" as referred to by Newsweek. I decided to compare Newsweek's breakdown of independents' voting preferences to the Washington Post polls conducted each day for a month prior to the 2004 Presidential election:
Now it could be that independents have become that opposed to republicans in the past week, but a 20 percentage point swing in one week seems extreme Also, I would have expected to see significantly fewer undecided independents than in prior Newsweek polls, as well, if that trend was really happening. Over the last month the percentage point difference between independents choosing democrats and those choosing republicans has changed from 15 percentage points (10/6/06), to 10 percentage points (10/20/06), to 5 percentage points (10/28/06) and now to 20 25 percentage points - that seems like an anomaly more than a trend. (後略) ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー これは鋭い分析で、最近の世論調査野中でもニューズウイークは共和党の巻き返しの兆候 の見られない特異な値を示しているのだけれど、中間派の中の民主党支持者の比率が異常 に多いと指摘しているもの。これはサンプリングのミスでないなら人意的な捏造かバイア スと推測すべきと思ふ。
米有力紙のフィラデルフィア・インクワイアは5日、韓国戦争(1950〜53)で多く の米軍が死亡したにもかかわらず、韓国内では反米感情が深く、年間30億ドル(約35 00億円)の駐留費用がかかるにもかかわらず米軍を韓国から撤退させずにいるのは、本 当の同盟国の日本・台湾などに被害が出るからだと報じた。(後略) ーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーーー ttp://www.philly.com/mld/philly/news/columnists/15930372.htm One Last Thing | Imagine no U.S. military in Korea We could easily pull out of the nation and let China have regional hegemony. But would it be the right thing? By Jonathan Last for the Inquirer Posted on Sun, Nov. 05, 2006
And then there's our ally, South Korea. Sure, South Korea is a plucky little country that has overcome adversity. They've established a thriving democracy and a booming economy. They love baseball and make great flat-panel HD televisions. ・・・ Consider, for instance, that it's illegal to burn the North Korean flag in South Korea, but burning the U.S. flag is A-OK. ・・・ President Roh has been less than true blue. He believes that North Korea must be appeased. ・・・ America is, for better or worse, stuck protecting the South Korean people so that they can keep making money, playing baseball, and enjoying their home-theater systems with the peace of mind that comes from knowing that no matter how much they antagonize America, we will always be there to protect them. Still... even superpowers should be allowed their daydreams.
Japan and the United States back five-nation talks on the nuclear standoff with North Korea at an upcoming international summit, Japan's foreign minister said Monday, adding the two allies demanded concrete results from future negotiations with the reclusive communist state. 麻生外相はバーンズ時間との会合の後、協議により北朝鮮の断固たる行動を求めるため 5ヶ国会議を提唱するとした。
"Japan and the U.S. will propose the five-way talks (in Vietnam)," Aso told reporters after the meeting with Burns, referring to the APEC summit in Hanoi. "We don't know yet if the others will go along with the proposal," he added. 「日米はベトナムのハノイAPECで5ヶ国会議を提唱する」
Burns rejected a North Korean call over the weekend for Japan to be excluded from the six-way talks because of its demand _ reiterated on Monday _ that Pyongyang not attend the talks as a declared nuclear power. バーンズ次官は北朝鮮の求めた6者協議からの、日本の排除を拒否した。
"These are six-party talks and the United States believes that one of our most important partners in that configuration is Japan," Burns told reporters. "Obviously we all stick together and we all participate in these negotiations." 「6者協議の重要なパートナーのひとつは日本と考えている。全参加国が協議に加わる事 にこだわっている」
"Carrying out the six-party talks is not the objective," Aso said. "The six party talks is a means and the objective is the abandonment of nuclear weapons." 麻生外相は「6者協議開催が目的ではなく核廃棄がその目的である」とした。
Aso also said that Japan and the United States would not accept North Korea as a nuclear state. Japanese officials have been arguing against allowing North Korea back to the negotiating table as an atomic power. 麻生外相は日米は北朝鮮の核武装国の地位を認めないと述べている。 (後略)