捕鯨推進派は平気で嘘つくから嫌いだ。 =================== みなみまぐろ保存委員会(CCSBT) 【国別漁獲割当量(2007‐2009年、日本のみ2007‐2011年)】 �日本3,000 t、豪州5,265 t、台湾1,000 t、韓国1,000 t、NZ420 t、フィリピン45 t、 南ア40 t、EC10 t、インドネシア750 t、 計 11,530 t 【2006年、2005年漁獲枠】 TAC:14,030t_ 日本:6,065t、豪州:5,265t、韓国:1,140t、台湾:1,140t、NZ:420t http://www.fishbase.org/report/FAO/FAOCatchList.cfm?c_code=&areacode=&scientific=Thunnus%20orientalis&english=&yc=0 太平洋クロマグロ(単位 t)2004年 Japan Pacific, Northwest 8,466 Japan 67 - Pacific, Northeast 0 Japan 71 - Pacific, Western Central 5 Japan 77 - Pacific, Eastern Central 3 Japan 81 - Pacific, Southwest 7 Japan 87 - Pacific, Southeast 0 Korea, Republic of 61 - Pacific, Northwest 0 Korea, Republic of 67 - Pacific, Northeast 0 Korea, Republic of 71 - Pacific, Western Central 0 Korea, Republic of 77 - Pacific, Eastern Central 0 Mexico 77 - Pacific, Eastern Central 1,887 New Zealand 81 - Pacific, Southwest 67 Palau 71 - Pacific, Western Central 2 Taiwan Province of China 61 - Pacific, Northwest 1,714 Taiwan Province of China 71 - Pacific, Western Central 0 Taiwan Province of China 77 - Pacific, Eastern Central 0 United States of America 67 - Pacific, Northeast 0 United States of America 71 - Pacific, Western Central 0 United States of America 77 - Pacific, Eastern Central 38 Total: 12,189t http://www.fishbase.org/report/FAO/FAOCatchList.cfm?c_code=&areacode=&scientific=Thunnus%20atlanticus&english=&yc=0 大西洋クロマグロ(単位 t)2004 Bermuda 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 4 Brazil 41 - Atlantic, Southwest 118 Cuba 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 435 Dominica 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 25 Dominican Republic 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 137 France 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 0 Grenada 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 277 Guadeloupe 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 0 Martinique 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 0 Netherlands Antilles 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 0 Puerto Rico 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 22 Saint Lucia 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 96 Saint Vincent/Grenadines 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 19 Spain 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 0 Trinidad and Tobago 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 5 United States of America 21 - Atlantic, Northwest 1 United States of America 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 21 Venezuela, Boliv Rep of 31 - Atlantic, Western Central 732 Total: 1,892 t
229:2008/04/02(水) 11:05:01 .22 ID:/GkEFnQm0 >>208 オージーの日本への評価が以外と高くて笑った >The largest increases in positive views of Japan can be seen in Australia (70%, up from 55% in 2007) _______________ 一部のレイシスト連中を利用して反日を煽ってる連中がいるんだろうな。
The Committee noted that its ability to provide advice on the effects of the zero catch limit for Southern Hemisphere minke whales, which came into effect in the 1985/1986 pelagic season, was influenced by; the length of time for which the decision of 1982 had been in effect; the general population biology of large whales; the precision and frequency of abundance surveys; and the reliability of the population models used for prediction. It noted that the slow growth rate of whale populations meant that there was no possibility that there had been a substantial change in minke whale numbers since the 1985/1986 whaling season. In addition, attempts to compare the results of IDCR sighting cruises in the same management Area had indicated that only major changes in abundance could be detected because of the size of the coefficient of variation associated with the individual estimates.
SC/42/SHMi15(大隅清治論文) argued that, on the basis of estimates of current population size, observed changes in CPUE and age at sexual maturation and indirect evidence on the relationship between krill as prey (the main food of minke whales) and its predators in the Antarctic, there was no longer any reason to protect the Southern Hemisphere stocks of minke whales from exploitation. The author believed a catch limit of 1% of the exploitable population in sub-areas of the six management Areas was appropriate, as an interim management measure, even in the most conservative case.
It had been noted during earlier discussions in the Committee that, in the absence of an agreed revised management procedure, it would not be out of order to attempt to formulate advice on catch limits in accordance with the provisions of the Schedule paragraphs 10(a)-(c). Some members considered that such catch limits could be calculated from the results of the HITTER runs and the classifications described above, if an appropriate value of MSYR could be chosen. Some of these members believed that a value of 2% for MSYR would provide a conservative estimate for interim catch limits. Others considered that there was no objective basis for such a choice but agreed that a value of 2% could be used in such calculations for illustrative purposes. The calculated catch limits based on the 'best estimates' with a 60% MSYL, 2% MSYR and taking 90% of the MSY values from Table 1 of Appendix 6 of Annex E, with no allowance for the sex ratio of the catch, are: Area I: 456; Area II: 792; Area III: 650; Area IV: 583; Area V: 1,746; Area VI: 626.
Those members who considered 2% as a conservative interim measure were of the opinion that until such a time as the Schedule was revised, management advice still was based on the existing paragraphs 10(a)-(c) of the Schedule. Further, regardless of uncertainties about the dynamics of minke whale 'stocks', a catch limit at an MSYR of 2% would not result in appreciable reduction in stock abundance in the short term (5 years) no matter what assumptions are made, nor would it affect the development of revised management procedures.
Other members stated that it is now generally recognised that the management procedure incorporated in paragraphs 10(a)-(c) of the Schedule is inadequate. Accordingly they believed that offering advice on catch limits under this procedure was no longer appropriate. For the specific case of minke whales in the Southern Hemisphere they drew attention to the reasons they gave earlier for believing that the application of the HITTER routine to these stocks was inappropriate and pointed out that there is great uncertainty about stock identity and boundaries, most importantly for the more heavily exploited Indian Ocean sector (present Areas III and IV).
Thus the problems which made impossible the application of paragraphs 10(a)-(c) remain unresolved. They believed that the Committee does not at this time have instructions from the Commission, or any other basis, for providing advice on catch limits. They anticipated that the revised management procedures now being developed would be able to avoid the problems described above. However, they noted that SC/42/Rep2(第3回管理方式包括アセス メント作業部会オスロ会議報告) had indicated that the success of these procedures was likely to depend largely on their ability to cope with uncertainty about stock identity.
Harwood considered that, in the light of the estimates of abundance and associated variance given in Table 1, and the catches which these stocks had experienced, it should, in principle, be possible to give advice on catches which would not have an adverse effect on the stocks. The use of the HITTER routine, with a suitably wide range of input parameters, was a crude but useful method for evaluating the effect of past catches. The application of Schedule paragraphs 10(a)-(c) to these results, as described above, gave a broad indication of the magnitude of catches which might be sustained. He noted that, in essence, this methodology forms the basis of many of the revised management procedures being considered. However, he cautioned that such a procedure was, as yet, insufficiently developed, and that calculations using uncertain point estimates were not an appropriate basis for interim management. Reilly, Stokes and Zeh associated themselves with this view.
Holt and Cooke expressed the view that in offering management advice on classifications and catch limits a consistent approach should be adopted in the sense that either 'best estimates' should be used in both cases or 'conservative' ones.
Ohsumi believed that the 'best estimates' were conservative, because they were based on negatively biased population estimates, as detailed earlier in the report. He considered that using results for MSYR = 0% for classification purposes was also conservative.
61ページより ______Table 2________________________________________ HITTER results using the inputs shown in IWC/42/4 Annex E, Table 2. Results are given as exploitable female stock/female stock in 1972.
1990年7月2−6日第42回年次総会、ノルトウィク(オランダ) CHAIRMAN'S REPORT OF THE FORTY-SECOND MEETING 第42回総会議長総括 REP. INT. WHAL. COMMN 41, 1991. p.11-50 国際捕鯨委員会年報41号(1991年)11-50頁
以下当該部分 19−20ページ The Scientific Committee had noted that, in the absence of an agreed revised management procedure, it would not be out of order to attempt to formulate advice on catch limits in accordance with the NMP. Some members (19/20頁) considered that such catch limits could be calculated from the results of the HITTER runs and the classifications described above, if an appropriate value of MSYR could be chosen. Some of these members believed that a value of 2% for MSYR would provide a conservative estimate for interim catch limits. Others considered that there was no objective basis for such a choice but agreed that a value of 2% could be used in such calculations for illustrative purposes. The calculated catch limits based on the 'best estimates' with a 60% MSYL, 2% MSYR and taking 90% of the MSY values from the Scientific Committee Report (Annex E, Appendix 6, Table 1) with no allowance for the sex ratio of the catch, are given in Table 3.
議長総括つづき Those members of the Scientific Committee who considered 2% as a conservative interim measure were of the opinion that until such time as the Schedule was revised, management advice should still be based on the NMP. Further, regardless of uncertainties about the dynamics of minke whale 'stocks', a catch limit at an MSYR of 2% would not result in appreciable reduction in stock abundance in the short term (5 years) no matter what assumptions are made, nor would it affect the development of revised management procedures.
Other members of the Scientific Committee stated that it is now generally recognised that the NMP is inadequate and thus that offering advice on catch limits under the NMP was inappropriate. They reiterated their view that application of the HITTER routine to these stocks was inappropriate and pointed out that there is great uncertainty about stock identity and boundaries, most importantly for the more heavily exploited Indian Ocean sector (present Areas III and IV). Thus the problems which made impossible the application of the NMP remain unresolved. They believed that the Scientific Committee had no instructions from the Commission, or any other basis, for providing advice on catch limits. Although they anticipated that the revised management procedures now being developed would be able to avoid the above problems, they noted that the success of these procedures was likely to depend largely on their ability to cope with uncertainty about stock identify.
REP. INT. WHAL. COMMN 41, 1991, p.59国際捕鯨委員会第41回年次報告(1991年)59頁 Table 1 Best estimates of Southern Hemisphere minke whale population sizes. Bold numbers show those values used in assessments (see text). 'Pseudo-passing' population estimates are CM population divided by the closing mode/passing mode calibration factor 0.751 (CV 0.152) taken from SC/42/SHMi5). *= The IVW (70°-100°E) survey in 1984/5 has been omitted because PM in that survey did not include the IO, and therefore is not comparable to subsequent PM results. Notes: (i) P is an inverse variance weighted average of PM population estimate and 'pseudo-passing' population estimate; (ii) No adjustment has been made for the differing northerly extents of surveys of the Areas in different years.
__________________Total population size________________________________Tola1 catch to 1990_______ Area __Year_____CM___CV____PM___CV____Pseudo___CV____P_____C_____Male____Female___? I___ <1982/83>_55,050_0.203_____-_____-__<73,302>_0.254___-_____-______6,499__5,606___3 II___1981/82___37,306_0.213______-_____-___49,675__0.262___-_____-______6,435_13,286__18 ____<1986/87>__92,114_0.206_121,549_0.285_122,655_0.256_<122,156>_0.190_ III___1979/80___61,272_0.188______-_____-___81,587_0.242____-____-_______9,016_18,512__13 ____<1987/88>__51,820_0.521_102,984_0.309__69,001_0.543_<88,735>_0.273_ IV*__1978/79___72,867_0.156______-_____-___97,207_0.218____-____-______14,774_19,805___7 ____ <1988/89>__64,403_0.343__68,570_0.349__85,756_0.375_<74,692>_0.257_ V____1980/81___133,382_0.216_____-_____-__177,606_0.264____-____-_______5,009_10,156_ ____<1985/86>__211,150_0.174_303,284_0.172_281,158_0.231_<294,610>_0.138_ VI_1983/84______80,283_0.232______-____-__<106,901>_0.277___-___-_______2,848_2,150_1 ____________________________________________________________________________________________
>The calculated catch limits based on >the 'best estimates' with a 60% MSYL, 2% MSYR and >taking 90% of the MSY values from Table 1 of Appendix 6 >of Annex E, with no allowance for the sex ratio of the >catch, are: Area I: 456; Area II: 792; Area III: 650; Area >IV: 583; Area V: 1,746; Area VI: 626. 「ベスト推定」に基づき、最大持続可能捕獲レベルを60%とし、最大持続可能 捕獲率を2%、付帯論文E付録6表1から最大持続可能値の90%を採って、捕獲の 性別比率酌量をしない場合の捕獲上限を算出すると第I海域:465頭、第II海域792頭、 第III海域650頭、第IV海域:583頭、第V海域:1,746頭、第VI海域:626頭。
昨日貼っておいた南極海ミンククジラ海域別推定値(1982/83 - 1988/89)、2年後にちょっとした計算違いの訂正が あったので追加しておきます。これは過去のナンキョクミンククジラ推定値としてわりによく引用されてるレポートです。 ______________________________________________________ REP. INT. WHAL. COMMN 43, 1993. p.114 国際捕鯨委員会年報43号(1993)114頁 REPORT OF THE SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE, ANNEX E Appendix 6 CORRECTIONS TO ESTIMATES OF ABUNDANCE OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MINKE WHALES OBTAINED FROM IWC/IDCR DATA M.D. Haw (IWC事務局) In the course of analysis of sightings data gathered on IWC/IDCR Southern Hemisphere minke whale assessment cruises, two slight errors in survey area calculations carried out in previous analyses have come to light. These affect minke whale abundance estimates for Antarctic Area II (1981/82 survey) and Area VI (1983/84 survey). Table 1 gives corrected estimates for these Areas along with estimates for the remainder of the six Antarctic Areas taken from Rep. int. Whal. Commn 41:177. Where corrections have been made the original figures are included for comparison.
__Table 1___ Best estimates of Southern Hemisphere minke whale population sizes. CM = closing mode estimate, PM = passing mode. 'Pseudo' is the 'pseudo-passing' estimate, i.e. the closing mode estimate divided by the closing mode/passing mode calibration factor 0.751 (CV 0.152). P is an inverse-variance-weighted average of PM and 'pseudo' estimates. Original figures are taken from Table 1 of .Rep. int. Whal. Commn 41:177; only the Area II (1981/2) and Area VI (1983/4) figures are changed. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ __________________________Total population size___________________________Table l.RIWC 41:177_ Area__Year____CM___CV___PM______CV__'Pseudo'___CV____P__CV________________CM__CV__'Pseudo'__CV__ I____1982/3___55,050_0.203__-_________ _____73,302_0.254__-_______
229:2008/04/02(水) 11:05:01 .22 ID:/GkEFnQm0 >>208 オージーの日本への評価が以外と高くて笑った >The largest increases in positive views of Japan can be seen in Australia (70%, up from 55% in 2007) _______________ 一部のレイシスト連中を利用して反日を煽ってる連中がいるんだろうな。
It’s stupid and immature for a teacher to trick a group of Japanese students into making sexual hand gestures for a photograph, and even worse for that person to then send it to their friends for laughs.