【タイ】 元フランス代表､ジダン氏がタイ北部でチャリティーマッチ [02/20]
MIDWEST
Iowa +3.5 Biggest Republican movement in region in state that Bush lost
in '00 and won narrowly in '04.
Michigan +2 Target state in '00 and '04 a little more favorable for Rudy than W.
Minnesota +1 Target state in '00 and '04 a little more favorable for Rudy
than W.
Ohio +1 No. 1 target state in '04, scene of Republican disaster in
'06, a little more favorable to Rudy.
Illinois +0.5 Hillary's native state (and Obama's current state), the most
Democratic state in region by far.
Indiana -0.5 Negligible movement in heavily Republican state.
Wisconsin -1 A little more favorable to Hillary than Kerry in state narrowly
Democratic '00 and '04.
Missouri -1.5 Rudy a little harder to sell in southern-accented territory
than Bush.
South Dakota -3.5 Still heavily Republican.
Kansas -4 Rudy is a hard sell in the Great Plains, but the area is still
heavily Republican.
Nebraska -4.5 Still very heavily Republican.
North Dakota -6 Still very heavily Republican.
WEST
Oregon +7 A state that fell off the Republican target list in '04 is back
on again.
Colorado +6 A state that fell into the Democratic target list in '04 is
turning away from the party.
Arizona +4.5 A state briefly on the Democratic target list in '04 is turning
away from the party.
Nevada +3 A state very much on the target list in '00 and '04 moving
somewhat toward Rudy.
Washington +2 Small movement in state that fell off the Republican target
list in '04.
California +1.5 Small movement doesn't put it in play yet. Rudy weak in Central
Valley.
Hawaii +0.5 No significant change in state where Bush's status as commander
in chief boosted his vote.
Montana +0.5 No significant change in heavily Republican state.
Alaska 0 No change in heavily Republican state.
Utah 0 No change in the most heavily Republican state.
New Mexico -2 Rudy doesn't score well with Hispanics here and is a hard sell
to southern-accented Little Texas.
Wyoming -6 Wyoming native Cheney probably boosted the Bush-Cheney
percentage here.
Iowa +3.5 Biggest Republican movement in region in state that Bush lost
in '00 and won narrowly in '04.
Michigan +2 Target state in '00 and '04 a little more favorable for Rudy than W.
Minnesota +1 Target state in '00 and '04 a little more favorable for Rudy
than W.
Ohio +1 No. 1 target state in '04, scene of Republican disaster in
'06, a little more favorable to Rudy.
Illinois +0.5 Hillary's native state (and Obama's current state), the most
Democratic state in region by far.
Indiana -0.5 Negligible movement in heavily Republican state.
Wisconsin -1 A little more favorable to Hillary than Kerry in state narrowly
Democratic '00 and '04.
Missouri -1.5 Rudy a little harder to sell in southern-accented territory
than Bush.
South Dakota -3.5 Still heavily Republican.
Kansas -4 Rudy is a hard sell in the Great Plains, but the area is still
heavily Republican.
Nebraska -4.5 Still very heavily Republican.
North Dakota -6 Still very heavily Republican.
WEST
Oregon +7 A state that fell off the Republican target list in '04 is back
on again.
Colorado +6 A state that fell into the Democratic target list in '04 is
turning away from the party.
Arizona +4.5 A state briefly on the Democratic target list in '04 is turning
away from the party.
Nevada +3 A state very much on the target list in '00 and '04 moving
somewhat toward Rudy.
Washington +2 Small movement in state that fell off the Republican target
list in '04.
California +1.5 Small movement doesn't put it in play yet. Rudy weak in Central
Valley.
Hawaii +0.5 No significant change in state where Bush's status as commander
in chief boosted his vote.
Montana +0.5 No significant change in heavily Republican state.
Alaska 0 No change in heavily Republican state.
Utah 0 No change in the most heavily Republican state.
New Mexico -2 Rudy doesn't score well with Hispanics here and is a hard sell
to southern-accented Little Texas.
Wyoming -6 Wyoming native Cheney probably boosted the Bush-Cheney
percentage here.
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