ミッキーカウスのメディア・ブログ(Slate)24日
ttp://www.slate.com/id/2160159/geffenobama3 All Downhill So Far!Plus--Another mysterious Dem dropout.
By Mickey Kaus Updated Saturday, Feb. 24, 2007, at 5:59 AM ET
The truth is Hillary's campaign has been a series of ill-considered moves. Obama
panicked her into a way-too-early-announcement. The cause of the panic was fund-raising
(poaching of presumed supporters), which is the least vulnerable aspect of her
campaign. Basically, if she wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, she wins the nomination.
The most she can spend in Iowa and New Hampshire is $20 million, every last dollar
counted, including the surrounding states primary television advertising that will be
seen in Iowa. So money is not her problem. Imagining that it was and therefore entering
the race six-to-eight months before she needed to was a MAJOR mistake. Had she entered
in August or September, the surge would have run its course successfully or not.
The Iran issue would be that much further along. Pandemic flu would have hit or not hit.
Etc. By announcing early, she brought into play a hundred unnecessary variables.
ヒラリーの失敗は、オバマの出馬表明にパニックとなって、早期に出馬表明してしまったこと。
彼女はアイオワとニューハンプシャーの予備戦に勝てば大統領候補になれるので$20Mの宣伝
広告費があればそれが果たせるが、それはヒラリーにはたやすい事で、出馬表明は6-8ヶ月早す
ぎた。
In a nutshell, her challenge is (a) herself, (b) her vote on the War (and her bizarre
accounting for same), (c) her husband (never very popular with the party's left wing
and a wild card every day), (d) the whole Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton can-we-ever-get
-out-of-this-movie thing, (e) Hillaryland (consultants turning everything to hectoring
mush), (f) deep-seated fear among Democrats that she is, in truth, the least electable
candidate they have.
彼女の戦略の失敗で、彼女は(a)彼女自身、(b)上院でのイラク戦争賛成投票、 (c)彼女の夫、
(d)ブッシュ家とクリントン家の王朝の支配という批判、(e)ヒラリー流の詭弁術、(f)民主党
の唯一の当選可能な大統領候補という心配、などと戦わなくてはならない。
Geffen, a long-time ally, addressed a, b, c, d, e and f. The Clinton campaign, by
responding the way it did, amplified his remarks at least twofold. If that's a win,
I'm for the Breck Girl.
クリントンの長年の支持者であったGeffenは(a)〜(f)を認知し、クリントン陣営は下手な反撃
をやって、Geffenの言葉の効果を少なくとも倍増させた。