US markets moved sharply higher on Wednesday, and Europe is following their lead on Thursday. Since all eyes are firmly set on Thursday’s US ADP employment report ? and Friday’s non-farm payrolls ? this can only mean one thing: the number’s been leaked, or Goldman Sachs has upped-its-forecast. 水曜日の米国株式のシャープな上昇は、金曜日に予定される、5月の雇用統計の情報が事前にリークされ、強い値になる と伝えられた為である。
BNPパリバのメモ: We expect this positive picture to be confirmed by today’s ADP release for May where the market consensus is for 70k. However, the market is already forecasting a strong non-farm payroll with the published market consensus at 515k for the May report [to be published on Friday].
オバマ大統領も、演説で5月の雇用情報は良いものになるだろうと言っている (Reuters) ? President Barack Obama on Wednesday said he believed that the upcoming May employment report would show strong growth in U.S. payrolls. “We expect to see strong jobs growth in Friday’s report,” Obama said in a speech in Pittsburgh. “This economy is getting stronger by the day.”
5月は国勢調査の臨時雇用=573,779人を含めての値になる。アナリストは、政府雇用を除外した値を19万人とみている。 Bear in mind that Friday’s figure is likely to be skewed by the addition of 573,779 US census workers. Excluding government hiring, analysts were aiming for a gain of 190,000 jobs in May, as of Wednesday and according to Reuters.