ttp://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1e8c706c-f228-11e3-9015-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl#axzz34XF0kEkl As Isis advances south, Barack Obama, elected to extricate American troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, will come under pressure to use US air power to halt it. If the president does, logic suggests he should pursue the same forces into Syria ? where his refusal to intervene has given Isis such a regional leg-up ? and free mainstream rebels to concentrate on fighting the Assads.
ttp://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/jun/13/crisis-in-iraq-kurds-baghdad The situation may not demand, but it certainly invites, intervention. The most important outside actors are Iran and Turkey, with the United States in third place, and some others, like Saudi Arabia, of uncertain importance. In spite of its long and costly engagement, America has few levers left to pull in Iraq and what influence it did have has been systematically undermined, ironically enough, by Mr Maliki.America may or may not send serious help, but the one thing that can be safely predicted is that Iraq's stronger neighbours will move in if Baghdad does not get a grip on the situation.
Is this then the moment when Iraq, as so often predicted, will be effectively divided into three parts ? Not yet. Isis may well not last, to be replaced by a more normal Sunni leadership. Whether Isis fades or proves more enduring, the problem has always been that the tripartite nature of Iraq, less evident when government is strong, more evident when it is not, never goes away. But a truly divided Iraq would be too weak to resist further penetration by outside powers at best, and being transformed into a front in a regional Sunni-Shia war at worst. President Obama came close yesterday to making aid conditional on Iraqis working together. Unity, less than perfect but more than nominal is in the interest of all of Iraq's regions.
Obviously, his red line in Syria, then walking away from it; saying that Assad must go, then three years later, doing nothing really to make that happen; in Iraq, failing to get a status of forces agreement so that we can have a group of 10 to 15,000 soldiers there; all these decisions made in the past puts us in a very poor position now frankly, with very poor options. This is the consequence of a president that did not take the right actions at the time opportunity presented itself. … Trying to recapture the lead and keep these kinds of things from happening is going to be a real challenge, and gosh, I hope the president is going to be able to do that in his last two years. … I frankly think this is a continuation of a pattern of the Obama-Hillary Clinton foreign policy, and it hasn’t worked.
イラク危機へのアメリカ議会周辺のリアクション ttp://thehill.com/policy/international/209404-obama-pinched-by-crises-in-iraq-ukraine Obama pinched by crises abroad By Alexander Bolton - 06/14/14 10:37 PM EDT ウクライナとイラクのダブル危機でオバマ大統領は窮地に ザ・ヒル ・・・・ Maliki’s support in Congress, however, is thin. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), a Senate leader on national security issues, has called for Maliki to be replaced and Sen. Carl Levin (D-Mich.), the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, says he is not a fan of the Iraqi prime minister. アメリカ議会の外交委員会や軍事委員会では、イラクのマリキ首相への支持は少ない。 マケイン上院議員はマリキ首相の交代を求め、民主党のCarl Levin上院軍事委員会議長 はマリキ首相のファンではないと言っている
Hillary Clinton, the Democrats’ likely presidential nominee in 2016, has weighed in against military intervention in Iraq. “I agree with the White House’s rejection and reluctance to do the kind of military activities that the Maliki government is requesting, mainly the fighter aircraft to provide close support for the army and also to go after targets,” she told the BBC this past week. ヒラリー・クリントンはイラクへの軍事介入に反対する立場で「私はマリキ首相の要請 を断っているホワイトハウスの政策を支持する。戦闘機などに依る支援がその内容だが」
“That is not a role for the United States,” she added. “There needs to be a number of steps that Maliki and his government must take to demonstrate that he’s committed to an inclusive Iraq ? something he has not done up to date.” 「マリキ首相は、すべきことがあって、政府がイラク国民全体を支援することを明確に すべきだ(宗派闘争には支援しがたい)」
Other Democrats, such as Sens. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) and Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) have taken a more hawkish stance. Nelson has called for the president to deploy drones armed with Hellfire missiles against ISIS and Manchin says he is open to air strikes. 民主党の中でもBill Nelson上院議員やJoe Manchin上院議員はより鷹派的スタンスで 大統領がヘルファイア・ミサイル装備の無人攻撃機の支援をすべきと言いの供与を行 うべきという(後略)
A century after the British and French foreign ministers sat down to draw the map of the Middle East, the region they created is unravelling by the hour.
イラクの三分割の可能性も ・・ So it is probably just a matter of time before we see the break-up of Iraq into an Iran-dominated south; an independent Kurdish area in the north; and an area to the northwest of Baghdad contested by Isis and an Iran-backed Iraqi government. US actions in this scenario could involve some help for the Iraqi government, if it meaningfully broadened its political base. Alternatively, the US could simply carry out counter-terrorist strikes as required. The US should also move to shore up the Kurdish area, possibly linking aid to a commitment by the Kurds not to expand their de facto “state” beyond the borders of Iraq lest Turkey and others join the fray.
This would make for awkward regional politics, putting the US on the same side as Iran inside Iraq ? even as it opposed Iran in Syria against much the same forces. Also, acting militarily would fly in the face of Mr Obama’s desire to assuage the US popular desire to avoid more involvement in the Middle East.
Whatever the politics, the US and its partners cannot limit their efforts to Iraq. A strong case can be made to provide meaningful help to anti-regime but non-jihadist forces in Syria, which would make it impossible for Isis to focus on Iraq. More economic assistance is needed for Jordan, already burdened by millions of Syrian refugees.
There is also an argument for new talks with select European countries, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and both Iran and Russia. It is time for diplomacy to reflect that Isis, even more than the Assad regime in Syria, is the principal threat to western interests.
The only thing that is certain is the old Middle East is disintegrating. The question is what takes its place.
Bin Laden exiled Zarqawi for a time to western Afghanistan because he distrusted Zarqawi's loyalty and his extreme sectarian violence against Iraq's Shiites. But he valued Zarqawi's efficiency once the Iraq war started. ttp://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/06/isis-mosul-jihad.html ISIS bids for global jihad leadership with Mosul attack
ドローンは移動標的攻撃には向いておらず、Isisのような動く標的の爆撃は有人機でというのがセオリーだってことが話の前提。↓ Drone strikes remain under consideration, but manned aircraft are said to the preferred option, owing to their superiority against moving and manoeuvrable targets.・・・the US does not have forces on the ground to aid air targeting.
クルド人とIsisの直通ルートはないが、Isisを支援しているスンニ派の諸集団とはルートがあり、密接に連絡を取り合っている。↓ ・・・The Kurds have no sympathy for the ISIS radicals, but they are in touch with other elements, including tribal leaders and commanders of the Military Councils of Iraqi Revolutionaries (MCIR), which includes many experienced former Iraqi army officers.
両者間で、クルド人地域を侵害しないとの「約束」あり。↓ The Kurds have been given assurances from the latter that they will not encroach on the borders of the KRG autonomous region, according to an MCIR spokesman.The MCIR claims that overall, its fighters are the most significant element in the revolt, with tribal militants in second place, and ISIS only third despite the media attention they command. ・・・ http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-27836520
Isisの進撃は、兵站線が伸び切りつつあることから止まる寸前、と米軍関係者達語る。↓ ・・・ISIS will probably encounter a major roadblock on its proclaimed march to Baghdad, say current and former US military officials. “They are going to reach a natural culmination point: Their supply lines are going to get stretched, and they will enter an area with a much greater Shiite presence,” says Mr. Dubik, now a senior fellow at the Institute for the Study of War.・・・ http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Military/2014/0613/Iraq-crisis-Why-have-US-trained-security-forces-folded
Iran sent 2,000 advance troops to Iraq to help fight an extreme jihadist insurgency effectively seizing control of major cities in the country, a senior Iraqi official told The Guardian on Saturday.
ユダヤ人は悪魔は神の僕と考えていた。(旧約聖書)↓ ・・・The Jewish view is that Satan is always under the command of the Lord. Satan is one of his servants, one of his army.・・・
非ユダヤ人はユダヤ人の中に悪魔がいると考えた。(新約聖書)↓ Satan in the gospels is never identified with gentiles but only with Jews. That got me interested in how Christian anti-semitism comes out of this.・・・
配偶者が妊娠した瞬間から、男親の肉体にも変化が現れるんだって。↓ ・・・men undergo significant changes during their partners’ pregnancies, including growing beards, losing weight and nursing injuries they hadn’t noticed before. These changes are a manifestation of their fears, yet because they think they need to be strong, they don’t express them, instead stewing with resentment. ・・・
インドのモディ新首相の最初の外遊先が(仏教国の)ブータン、2番目が(人間主義の)日本であることは意味深とのコラムだ。 アジア共通の文化的諸規範の探求を通じてインドの新しいアイデンティティを創造し強化しようという動きだと。↓ Prime Minister Narendra Modi<'s>・・・first scheduled trips abroad will be to Bhutan and then Japan・・・ His approach isn’t just a personal predilection; it also reflects a wider shift within India: the search, especially among right-wing politicians and intellectuals, for a common set of Asian cultural norms that would help them create and strengthen a new sense of Indian identity.・・・
イスラム過激派と軍閥と政府の三つに分裂。↓ ・・・General Khalifa Haftar, who accuses the government of supporting terrorism, began an assault against Islamist fighters in ・・・Benghazi・・・last month.・・・ In February this year, he called on Libyans to rise up against the elected parliament・・・
現在、軍閥がイスラム過激派の拠点のベンガジに向けて進撃中。↓ He survived an assassination attempt earlier in June after a suicide bomb attack on his home in the town of Abyar, about 60km (37 miles) east of Benghazi. ・・・
政府軍の一部が軍閥に合流。↓ The government in Tripoli says Gen Haftar has no authority to act, but several army units have joined him. ・・・a battalion within one of the biggest rival militias has also defected to join the general. The clashes on Sunday were said to have been some of the worst since Gen Haftar began his offensive against Islamists, dubbed "Operation Dignity," in May.・・・ http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-27862365
スペイン内務省によると、このグループはシリアとイラクを拠点に活動する国際テロ組織 アルカイダ(Al-Qaeda)系のイスラム武装勢力「イラク・レバントのイスラム国 (Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant、ISIL)」のために戦闘員を勧誘し、現地へ送っていた。 「このグループの首謀者は2001年にアフガニスタンで拘束され、グアンタナモに収容された後、 スペインに住んでいた点は注目すべきだ」と内務省は指摘しているが、詳細は明かしていない。
BEIRUT: Syria's army has been pounding major bases of the Islamic State of Iraq and Greater Syria in coordination with the Baghdad government for the last 24 hours, an activist group says Sunday.?
DUBAI (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia rejected on Monday the idea of any foreign interference in Iraq and blamed Baghdad's "sectarian and exclusionary" policies for a lightning offensive by Sunni insurgents. サウジアラビアは月曜日に、イラク国内で進行するスンニ派反政府部隊と政府の抗争 について、いかなる外国勢力の介入も拒否するとした
Rebels from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) have seized several Iraqi cities, threatening to split the country down sectarian lines, a deeply worrying prospect for the region and beyond. The crisis "would not have happened if it wasn't for the sectarian and exclusionary policies that were practised in Iraq in past years and which threatened its security, stability and sovereignty", official news agency SPA cited Information Minister Abdulaziz Khoja as saying. Abdulaziz Khoja情報相はSPA通信社に対して、イラク政府が宗派対立を増大させるよう な政策を取ってこなければ、こうした事態に至らなかっただろうと述べた
Sunni Muslim Saudi Arabia views Shi'ite Iran as a potentially dangerous rival and like most Gulf Arab states is wary of its support for the Shi'ite-led Iraqi government that came to power after Sunni president Saddam Hussein was forced from power by the 2003 U.S. invasion. In the government statement, Riyadh made no mention of possible talks on Iraq between Washington and Iran, something a senior U.S. official said might happen on the sidelines of nuclear talks in Vienna this week. 伝えられるイランと米国のイラク問題の協議の可能性についてサウジアラビアは沈黙
But Riyadh said it was necessary to "preserve Iraq's sovereignty" and rejected any outside interference in Baghdad's internal affairs. It also urged the "quick formation of a national consensus government" サウジアラビア政府はイラク国家の一体性の維持が重要であるとして、イラクの国内 問題に対する、いかなる外国の介入も拒否するとした。イラク国内での国民のコンセ ンサスの急速な形成が必要とした。
Summary:The ISIS attack on Iraq presents many risks for Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps.
In Iran, when it comes to dealing with Iraq, there are two main bodies: first, the government headed by President Hassan Rouhani, which deals with Iraq through diplomatic and trade relations; and second, the security forces, chief among them the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC) Quds Force, headed by Gen. Qassem Suleimani, referred to as the "shadow commander" by some in Iraq. In the short run, both groups in Iran can gain from the recent ISIS victories in Iraq. In the long run, both have much to lose.
Conversely, in the long run, both Rouhani and Suleimani could stand to lose from the possible long-term continuation of the ISIS crisis. In the long term, the current crisis could ruin Iraq's economy, which is a multibillion dollar export market for Iranian non-oil products. Further, Iran has plans to start exporting gas to Iraq this year, with Iran hoping to earn $3.7 billion a year.
There could also be domestic repercussions against Rouhani's interests. The head of the Basij organization, Gen. Mohammad Reza Naghdi, has already accused the United States of being behind the ISIS attacks. The spokesman for parliament's National Security Commission, Mohammad Hossein Naghavi Hosseini, has publicly accused the Saudis (as well as Israel and the United States) of being behind the ISIS attacks.
The longer the ISIS crisis continues, the more difficult it will be for Rouhani to create a diplomatic rapprochement with the United States, as this crisis could strengthen the hand of Iran's conservatives, who are against such a scenario. The same applies to Rouhani's aspirations to improve relations with the Saudis.
The one person who is not at fault, we are told over and over again, is the current president of the United States. Like Millard Fillmore, he has kept us out of war. ・・・ Other than avoiding war, it's hard to know what Obama wants. I know what he says, but actions always speak louder than words. ・・・ He now must deal with a region that is so much worse than anyone imagined. Where does the fault lie? Where it always has -- where the buck stops. [email protected](c) 2014, Washington Post Writers Group
ttp://www.the-american-interest.com/blog/2014/06/16/the-world-ignites-on-obamas-watch/ To say this is not to say that George W. Bush got things right (in many important ways, he didn’t), but there is little doubt that the U.S. and our allies are less secure today than we were on January 20, 2009, when President Obama was sworn in. It isn’t all his fault and he has had some real successes as well as failures along the way, but one can only hope that the folks inside the White House and in the President’s inner circle have the honesty and clarity of mind to acknowledge that American foreign policy isn’t going very well right now?not in Afghanistan, not in the Middle East, not in North Africa, not in the Russian borderlands, not where China seeks to extend its reach.
The world has caught fire on President Obama’s watch, and while he wasn’t the arsonist who lit the match, he’s the man in charge of putting the conflagration out. The world, and the American voters, will be watching to see how he responds.
A leading Sunni cleric, Rifa al-Rifaie, said Sistani's call amounted to sectarianism. Sistani is known as a moderate who never called his followers to arms during the U.S. occupation. "Sistani, that lion, where was he when the Americans occupied Iraq?" Rifaie said, listing Sunni grievances: "We have been treated unjustly, we have been attacked, our blood had been shed and our women have been raped."
Tareq al-Hashemi, a Sunni who was vice president until fleeing the country in 2012 after Maliki accused him of terrorism, said the violence was part of a broader Sunni revolt that could lead to a holy war, and was not just an ISIL rampage. "What happened in my country ... is desperate people revolted. Simple as that. Arab Sunni communities over 11 years faced discrimination, injustice, corruption," he told Reuters. BY ZIAD AL-SANJARY AND ARSHAD MOHAMMED MOSUL Iraq/WASHINGTON Tue Jun 17, 2014 6:25am EDT ttp://www.reuters.com/article/2014/06/17/us-iraq-security-idUSKBN0EP0KJ20140617
ttp://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b383cf18-f55b-11e3-afd3-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do The way ahead for Obama over Iraq June 16, 2014 7:45 pm US can engage with Iran to find replacement for Maliki --------------------------------------------------------------------------- *今日のFTの社説↑はイラク危機を評して、目指すべきはスンニ、シーア、クルドの 共存できる統合国家の存続であり、イラクの分裂を避けるべきという、それはまあ、 そうではあるけれどFTは米国がイランと協議して、あまりに宗派対立を煽るマリキ 首相を交代させ、スンニやクルドを包括できる指導者を導入すべきだという。
Andrew Marszal By Andrew Marszal11:43AM BST 17 Jun 2014 ? US to send nearly 300 troops to Iraq as crisis escalates ? Isis attack on Baquba - 37 miles from Baghdad - 'repelled' overnight ? Kurdish PM says return to pre-Isis attack Iraq 'almost impossible' ? Iraq's biggest oil refinery shut down; foreign staff evacuated ? Isis fighting and car bomb reported in Syria near Iraq border ? UK to reopen Iran embassy following talks over Iraq measures
1 India 11 US 2 Mexico 12 Korea 3 Chile 13 Switzerland 4 China 14 Germany 5 Russia 15 UK 6 Poland 16 Italy 7 Australia 17 France 8 Japan 18 Brazil 9 Canada 19 Netherlands 10 Sweden 20 Spain
GAP = Global Aging Preparedness
The GAP Index also suggests that demography need not be destiny. Japan, which must cope with a massive age wave, nonetheless scores in the middle of both the fiscal sustainability and income adequacy indices.
ttp://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-27893831 17 June 2014 Last updated at 19:09 Share this pagePrint ShareFacebookTwitter US seizes Benghazi raid 'ringleader' Ahmed Abu Khattala 米国国防省は2012年のベンガジ事件の犯人とみられるAhmed Abu Khattalaを拘束 BBC
The suspected ringleader of the September 2012 raid on a US diplomatic post in the Libyan city of Benghazi, which left four Americans dead, has been captured, the Pentagon says. Ahmed Abu Khattala was taken into custody in a secret US military raid in Libya on 15 June. ペンタゴンはリビアでの作戦でベンガジ事件の犯人と見られるAhmed Abu Khattala を拘束したと発表。6月15日の秘密作戦に依るという。
He is now being held in a secure location outside the country, a Pentagon spokesman confirmed. US Ambassador Chris Stevens and three others were killed in the attack. "There were no civilian casualties related to this operation, and all US personnel involved in the operation have safely departed Libya," Pentagon press secretary Rear Adm John Kirby wrote in a statement.
"We hold them responsible for supporting these groups financially and morally, and for the outcome of that - which includes crimes that may qualify as genocide: the spilling of Iraqi blood, the destruction of Iraqi state institutions and historic and religious sites," the Iraqi government said of Riyadh in a statement. マリキ首相は文書でISILについて「イラク人の血を流さしめ、イラク国家の破壊と 歴史的・宗教的施設を破壊する虐殺者であり、彼らを経済的、あるいは精神的に 支持する勢力に責任を問う」と述べサウジアラビアを非難した。
Maliki has blamed Saudi Arabia for supporting militants in the past, but the severe language was unprecedented. On Monday Riyadh blamed sectarianism in Baghdad for fuelling the violence. In the latest bloodshed, scores of Iraqis were killed on Tuesday during a battle for a provincial capital, and fighting shut the country's biggest oil refinery, starving parts of the country of fuel and power. マリキ首相はサウジアラビアを武装派を支援してきたとして厳しく非難した ttp://www.reuters.com/article/2014/06/17/us-iraq-security-idUSKBN0EP0KJ20140617 Iraq's Maliki defies call to reach out, accuses Saudis of 'genocide' BY NED PARKER BAGHDAD Tue Jun 17, 2014 3:15pm EDT
The ISIS rebels have carved out an impressive swath of territory in northern Iraq. This has enormous implications and risks to the world’s oil supplies. ・・・・ The nearly 2 mbd of incremental Iraqi production were essential to keeping Brent oil within the price range of $100 to $110 per barrel over the past couple of years. At best, the ISIS rebellion guarantees that any potential additional Iraqi oil output gains are not going to materialize in the near future. No oil companies are going to invest in Iraq until and unless the situation stabilizes. This means that Saudi Arabia will have to account for 100% of the hoped-for additional oil supply that the IEA is calling for. There’s quite a bit of uncertainty among oil analysts as to whether Saudi Arabia can even do this, as that’s over 1 million barrels per day more than the country has ever pumped in its entire history. ・・・・ A slightly more dire scenario could see Iraqi oil production decline from current levels due to various insults to its existing oil production systems. Perhaps there will be more voluntary shut-downs of pipelines and refineries, as happened to Iraq’s biggest refiner in Baiji Tuesday morning. A complete loss of Iraqi production would spike the world oil price CLN4 -0.28% up to $200 per barrel pretty quickly.
湾岸諸国にも米軍基地はあるが、受入国がISIS攻撃に基地を使うのを受け入れないだろうって。↓ ・・・An inability to use the gulf bases would make it difficult for the Pentagon to deploy armed drones over Iraq. Predator and Reaper drones cannot take off from ships and lack the range to be effective from U.S. bases in Afghanistan. The U.S. military has fighter aircraft and unarmed drones in Turkey, including a handful of Predators that have conducted surveillance flights over northern Iraq since 2011.
・・・In 2008, when I’d just become a graduate student, I wrote a blog about which countries have hurt the feelings of Chinese people. The blog was shared widely. At the time, I’d used the People’s Daily database to search, and to see in what kind of context people were considered to have “hurt the feelings of the Chinese people.” Those most frequently raised were Japan, America and NATO. I thought this strategy was pretty good, as the paper is the party’s mouthpiece, so it’s a pretty authoritative source. When it came to which people were officially considered “old Chinese friends,” I used the same method. There were 601 people who were considered China’s old friends.・・・ The country that produced the most ‘old friends’ for China was Japan, followed by the United States, though the U.S. didn’t have even half so many as Japan.・・・ http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2014/06/17/from-doctors-to-kings-who-are-chinas-old-friends/?mod=WSJBlog&mod=chinablog
・・・the Mughal warlord Babur was equally negative about the country, calling Hindustan “a place of little charm” without beauty, nobility, grace or good horses, but he acknowledged a quality that made it attractive to conquerors from central Asia and later Europe. “The one nice aspect of Hindustan is that it is a large country with lots of gold and money,” said Babur.・・・ http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/d5c5e5c0-efca-11e3-9b4c-00144feabdc0.html#axzz34l8QfRRT
<シリアでの石油密売> Isis has seized oilfields in Syria’s Deir Ezzor province or made alliances with tribes to extract oil.
<月間$8mの収入> In financial terms, 2014 has been dramatically successful for the group, after fighters looted hundreds of millions of dollars from Mosul banks. According to the Council on Foreign Relations, Isis was already extorting taxes from businesses in Mosul before its takeover, netting perhaps as much as $8m a month.
<SNSでのイメージ向上キャンペーン> Before last week’s takeover of Mosul, Isis-linked accounts on Twitter were flooded with a co-ordinated campaign of hashtags and images, carefully calibrated to shock ? and inspire. Mr Zelin points to Isis activities on social media in Syria as having paved the way for their propaganda war in Iraq. Images stream out of Raqqa ? the group’s stronghold in the north of the country ? on Facebook, Twitter and YouTube depicting the proto-state it is creating there.
For all its attempts at building a disciplined, professional military striking force, analysts said the ferocity with which Isis pursues its ambitions could quickly alienate those it seeks to govern in its so-called Islamic state. “It’s the old problem of the scorpion and the fox,” said Mr Inkster. “The jihadi ideology contains the seeds of its own destruction.”
・・・From the early 1500s to the mid-1600s, Protestants and Catholics tore Europe apart, killing perhaps a third of the population in parts of Germany, the Netherlands, and Belgium, with brutal casualty rates in many other parts of the continent and the British Isles. Coincidentally, this was the moment when Christianity was about 1,500 years old -- roughly the length of time since the founding of Islam to the present. Then, as now, this was not purely religious fury at work.・・・ http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/06/17/the_ghosts_of_religious_wars_past_are_rattling_in_iraq_european_reformation?wp_login_redirect=0
ERBIL, Kurdistan Region - The prime minister of Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan Region Nechirvan Barzani said he does not believe the country will stay together, as Sunni extremist militants continue to make territorial gains and are marching towards Baghdad.
In an interview with the BBC, Barzani said it would be "almost impossible" for Iraq to return to the situation that existed before the city of Mosul was captured by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) last week, and that the various factions needed to "sit down and find a way to live together." BBCのインタビュに答えて「イラクが以前の状況に戻ることは、殆ど不可能に見える」
“We see now Iraq before Mosul and after Mosul. I think it will be very difficult for the situation to go back the same as before,” he said in the interview, broadcast Tuesday. 「Mosulの陥落以前と陥落以後のイラクは異なる。以前の状態に戻ることは極度に困難 だと思う」
Asked about Shiite Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, who has turned into a figure of hate by both Iraq’s Sunnis and Kurds, Barzani said there is no trust left between Maliki and Iraq’s Sunnis, Kurds or even Shiites. マリキ首相について問われたことに答えてBarzani氏は「スンニ派からもクルド族から も全く信頼されておらず、シーア派からさえ信頼を失っている」
“Regarding a solution, is for the Sunni areas to decide, but the best model is to have a Sunni region like we have in Kurdistan,” the premier said. 「解決策としての最善のモデルは、スンニ派の地域をクルド族と同じように自治区に することだろう」
ttp://www.haaretz.com/news/middle-east/1.599551 "Regarding the holy Shia shines in Karbala, Najaf, Khadhimiya and Samarra, we announce to the killers and terrorists that the big Iranian nation will not hesitate to protect holy shrines," he said, speaking to a crowd on a visit to western Lorestan province. 「シ-ア派の聖地である Karbala, Najaf, Khadhimiya、Samarraの神殿を守り、テロリ ストの殺人者に対抗することをイランはいとうものではない」
"These terrorist groups, and those that fund them, both in the region and in the international arena, are nothing, and hopefully they will be put in their own place." 「彼らテロリスト達は、また彼らを支援する者達は、無益であって彼らを自身の土地に 押し戻すことが期待される」
However, his comments don't necessarily represent the last word on any military assistance to Iraq in its battle against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant. All final military decisions in the Islamic Republic rest with its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. しかし首相のこのコメントはイランがISISに対向する軍事行動を決意したといった最終 決定を意味するものではなく、全てはハメネイ師の最終決断に依ることとなる (ロイタ- Jun. 18, 2014 | 11:14 AM)
・・・France was the most enthusiastic trading partner, analysts say. Germany, Italy and the Czech Republic have also been involved in selling equipment to Russia in recent years・・・ A $163 million high-tech military training facility built in Russia by the German defense contractor Rheinmetall was near completion when German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel halted work on it in late March, citing the situation in Crimea. Whether work will resume remains unclear.・・・
ttp://www.reuters.com/article/2014/06/18/us-iraq-security-refinery-idUSKBN0ET0MN20140618 (Reuters) - Sunni militants have taken control of most of Iraq's largest oil refinery, located in Baiji in northern Iraq, an official at the refinery said on Wednesday. "The militants have managed to break in to the refinery. Now they are in control of the production units, administration building and four watch towers. This is 75 percent of the refinery," an official speaking from inside the refinery said.
先進11カ国の医療制度比較で、一番は英国、ビリは米国。↓ ・・・The NHS has been declared the world's best healthcare system・・・in 11 countries・・・by an international panel of experts who rated its care superior to countries which spend far more on health. The same study also castigated healthcare provision in the US as the worst globally. Despite putting the most money into health, America denies care to many patients in need because they do not have health insurance and is also the poorest at saving the lives of people who fall ill, it found.・・・
一人当たり医療費は米国が最大、英国がブービー。↓ ・・・it spends the second-lowest amount on healthcare among the 11 ? just £2,008 per head, less than half the £5,017 in the US. Only New Zealand, with £1,876, spent less.・・・
だけど、英国の医療の患者死亡率はブービー。 (大体からして、11カ国の中に日本を入れてないみたいだし、患者死亡率が高いだけでアウトじゃないの。)↓ The only serious black mark against the NHS was its poor record on keeping people alive. On a composite "healthy lives" score, which includes deaths among infants and patients who would have survived had they received timely and effective healthcare, the UK came 10th.・・・ http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/jun/17/nhs-health
JERUSALEM ? Members of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, or ISIS, were trained in 2012 by U.S. instructors working at a secret base in Jordan, according to informed Jordanian officials. The officials said dozens of ISIS members were trained at the time as part of covert aid to the insurgents targeting the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Syria. The officials said the training was not meant to be used for any future campaign in Iraq. ヨルダンの士官によればアサド政権に対抗すべく米軍の訓練した何ダースもの戦闘員が ISISとしてイラクで活動している。当時は彼らがイラク政府に歯向かうことは想定され ていなかった
The Jordanian officials said all ISIS members who received U.S. training to fight in Syria were first vetted for any links to extremist groups like al-Qaida. ヨルダンの士官によれば訓練を与える戦闘員はアルカイダなどの組織との繋がりをチェッ クされて、それがないことを確認している
In February 2012, WND was first to report the U.S., Turkey and Jordan were running a training base for the Syrian rebels in the Jordanian town of Safawi in the country’s northern desert region. That report has since been corroborated by numerous other media accounts. 先にWNDは、アメリカ、トルコ、ヨルダンが協力してヨルダン北部のSafawiの秘密基地で 対アサド政権の戦闘員を訓練していると報じた。
Iran, already deeply mired in Syria’s civil war, now finds itself center stage in a fight against Sunni militants threatening to topple its most important regional partner in Iraq. イランはシリア内戦に深く関わって来たが、いまやイラク国内の紛争が拡大し、 中東地域のイランの最重要の同盟者がスンニ派の武装勢力に脅かされている為に イラクの紛争でも関わり無しにはいられない
The conflict will test Iran’s ability to prop up its two closest Arab allies to preserve the political influence built in the region over the past decade. The collapse of Maliki’s government, without a pro-Iranian alternative ready to take over, would cut Iran’s leverage in its power struggle with regional Sunni powers such as Saudi Arabia and in its efforts to overhaul ties with the U.S. マリキ政権が、親イラン政権以外のものに交代するのであれば、中東地域でのスンニ派 との影響力行使の闘争に影響があり、米国との関係改善にも悪い影響がある
“The fragility of the situation in Iraq may bring a security challenge to the ranian border and make Iran more vulnerable,” said Mahjoob Zweiri, a professor of Middle East politics who focuses on Iran at Qatar University in Doha. “There may be ramifications for which Iran is not ready.” カタール大学の中東政治専門家である Mahjoob Zweiriは「イラクの不安定な状況はイラ ンの国境の安全を脅かし、脆弱性を増す。此等の状況に対応する準備がイランにはでき ていないかもしれず、悪影響があるかもしれない」
Qassem Soleimani, the head of the Revolutionary Guards’ external Qods Force, was in Baghdad last week where he was seen visiting checkpoints on the capital’s outskirts, according to Hayder al-Khoei, an associate fellow at London-based research center Chatham House. ロンドンのシンクタンクであるChatham HouseのHayder al-Khoeiによれば、イランの革命 防衛隊の外国向け部隊である Qods Forceの長であるQassem Soleimaniが先週からバクダッ ドにいて、首都周辺の(防衛上の)チェックポイントを視察している。
“When Soleimani demands a particular action to be taken, it’s difficult for Shiite parties to ignore those demands,” Mardini said by phone last week. Iran “has ways of punishing actors should they choose not to comply,” he said. ヨルダンのシンクタンクの Mardiniによれば「Qassem Soleimaniが何かの行動を要請する ならイラクのシーア派は無視できないだろう」という
Soleimani’s force has been active in Syria, training Assad’s army as well as engaging in some of the fighting, according to videos posted on social media sites. Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed Lebanese militant group, is also fighting alongside Assad forces. The Islamic republic will find it difficult to provide enough support to turn the tide of the battle on two fronts, said Afshon Ostovar, a Iran expert at CNA Corp., based in Arlington, Virginia. Qassem SoleimaniのQods Forceはシリアでアサド政権の軍を訓練し、レバノンのヒズボラ についても訓練を与えている。バージニア州のCNA Corp.,のイラン専門家である Afshon Ostovarによれば、イランがシリアとイラクの二正面作戦を戦い、スンニ派武装勢力を押し 戻すに充分な支援を提供することは困難だろうという
“With its support for Assad and Maliki, Iran has created a Frankenstein,” he said. “Iran does not have the manpower to solve the crisis in Iraq. As we see in Syria, they have helped Assad hold territory, but not regain much.” 彼は「アサドとマリキを支援する事で、イランはフランケンシュタインを作ったのだ」と いう。「イランはイラク危機を解決するに足るマンパワーを持っていない。シリアに見る ように、イランはアサド政権を支援しているが、それでも大きく勢力を回復させる事はで きていない」
Ultimately, Iran’s involvement in Iraq can be with or without the U.S., said Theodore Karasik, director of research at the Institute for Near East and Gulf Military Analysis in Dubai. “Iran sees its security threatened by the tidal wave of Sunni extremists moving ever closer to the border,” he said. “If the Iraqi government were to crumble Iran would take it as a direct and immediate threat.” ドバイの中東軍事研究所の研究部長である Theodore Karasikは「アメリカの関与の有無 にかかわらず、イランは結局イラクの紛争に関わらざるをえない」という。「隣国にスン ニ派の過激派勢力があれば、イランの安全保障条、問題であるから。イラク政府が崩壊す るようなことになれば、それはイランへの直接的脅威になる」(後略)
Prince Turki decried Iran’s ‘meddling’ and its ‘destabilising efforts in the countries with Shia majorities ? Iraq and Bahrain ? as well as in those countries with significant minority Shia communities such as Kuwait, Lebanon and Yemen.’ As he said, ‘Saudi Arabia will oppose any and all of Iran’s actions in other countries, because it is Saudi Arabia’s position that Iran has no right to meddle in other nations’ internal affairs, especially those of Arab states.’
(Reuters) - President Barack Obama came under pressure from U.S. lawmakers on Wednesday to persuade Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki to step down over what they see as failed leadership in the face of an insurgency threatening his country. 議会制力はマリキ首相の指導性を問題として交代を求める圧力が大統領にかかっている
As Obama held an hour-long meeting with congressional leaders on U.S. options in Iraq, administration officials joined a chorus of criticism of Maliki, faulting him for failing to heal sectarian rifts that militants have exploited. 大統領は議会有力者とのイラク危機に関する一時間ほどの会合を持ち対応を協議した。 この中でイラクの宗派対立を横大させているとしてマリキ首相への批判が高まった。
Army General Martin Dempsey, chairman of the U.S. military's Joint Chiefs of Staff, told a congressional hearing that Maliki's Shi'ite-led government had asked for U.S. air power to help counter Sunni militants who have overrun northern Iraq. Martin Dempsey統合参謀本部議長はイラク政府がテロリストに対する空爆の支援を 米国に求めていると議会有力者らに説明
The general did not say whether Washington would meet the request. But Dempsey signaled that the U.S. military - apparently much like Obama - was in no rush to launch air strikes in Iraq, citing the need to clarify a chaotic situation on the ground so any targets could be selected "responsibly." 議長は空爆の可否について話していないが明らかに緊急の軍事行動を始める意図を 示さず、混沌としたイラクの状況のなかで空爆目標を設定する上で問題が有るとした
Maliki has so far shown little willingness to create a more inclusive administration. "The Maliki government, candidly, has got to go if you want any reconciliation," said U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein, Democratic chairwoman of the Senate Intelligence Committee. Republican Senator John McCain, speaking in the Senate, called for the use of American air power, but also urged Obama to "make it make very clear to Maliki that his time is up." マリキ首相は宗派対立の沈静化にほとんど興味を示していない。上院諜報委員会議長 の Dianne Feinstein上院議員は「イラクの国内勢力の和解のためにはマリキ首相の 交代が必要」といい、マケイン上院議員はアメリカの空爆支援に賛成であるものの、 マリキ首相の交代を求めるように要請した。
The Obama administration has not openly sought Maliki's departure, but has shown signs of frustration with him. オバマ政権はマリキ首相に表立った退陣要求を出していないけれど、彼に対するフラ ストレーションを高めている
In Oval Office talks, Obama briefed the lawmakers on efforts to get Iraqi leaders to "set aside sectarian agendas," reviewed options for "increased security assistance" and sought their views, the White House said. "This current government in Iraq has never fulfilled the commitments it made to bring a unity government together with the Sunnis, the Kurds and the Shia," Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel told the congressional hearing. ヘーゲル国防長官はイラクの現行政権が「スンニ、シーア、クルドの共存する国家の 統合というコミットメントを果たしていない」と議会で述べている
Yet in spite of two sides' desire and clear need for cooperation in Iraq, there are serious issues?other than the nuclear program?that render it hard to realize.
There are in fact competing, if not conflicting, interests that limit the nature of a tactical alliance between the countries in dealing with Iraq. Both in Iran and the U.S., as well as the Middle East region, there are powerful forces and countries that feel threatened by any Iran-American rapprochement.
Iran wants to keep Iraq together, keep Shiites if not Maliki in power, and keep the IRGC’s extensive network of militia and economic presence in Iraq intact. The U.S. clearly has no love lost for Maliki and his sectarian politics, is gingerly moving toward favoring a loosely federated Iraq, and certainly does not want to encourage, or enable, Iran’s increased power in Iraq.
Moreover, the two countries find themselves on opposing sides of the war in Syria. While Rouhani took four days?only after much cudgeling by conservatives?to congratulate Assad on his “election” victory, radical conservatives keep insisting that keeping Assad in power is a key strategic goal of the Islamic regime. In spite of these tensions, the specter of ISIS haunting the Levant is strong enough to bring the old foes together, if only briefly, to try to put the genie of Salafi extremism back in the bottle.
Isisはフセインの手下たる旧バース党員達と手を組んでいる。↓ ・・・ While fighters for the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, once an offshoot of Al Qaeda, have taken on the most prominent role in the new insurgency, they have done so in alliance with a deeply rooted network of former loyalists to Saddam Hussein.・・・
リビアのベンガジの事実上の米大使館襲撃事件の主犯を米国が拉致・逮捕したことに関し、 自衛権の行使であるとの口上書を米国政府が国連に提出した。↓ The Obama administration has told the United Nations that Ahmed Abu Khattala, the suspected ringleader of the 2012 attack on the American Consulate in Benghazi, Libya, was plotting additional attacks on Americans and that the United States conducted the weekend raid that seized him under its right to self-defense.・・・
他方、これは犯罪対処なので米議会の軍事力行使の承認は不要との立場。↓ Obama administration officials said Tuesday that the raid was conducted under law enforcement authority, and they unsealed criminal charges against Mr. Abu Khattala from July 2013. The raid did not fall under congressional authorization to use military force against Al Qaeda.
7.48am BST The US has not confirmed that it is demanding Maliki's resignation, but it is giving every indication it favours some form of government of national unity in Iraq. 米国はマリキ首相の退陣を要求したことを確認しないけれど、イラクでの国民統合の 政権を望んでいることが各種の事項から明確である
7.37am BST There is mounting concern that western nationals have joined Sunni extremists in Iraq, with reports that hundreds of young men have joined from Britain and Australia alone. PA reports that up to 450 Britons have signed up to jihad with Isis, citing a Kurdish intelligence chief. 英国とオーストラリアの数百人の若者がイラクのISISに参加している。クルド自治政府の 諜報主任によれば450人の英国人がISISに参加している
7.24am BST The US has demanded the resignation of Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki as a condition for US military intervention, according to the Independent. 米国は軍事介入の条件としてマリキ首相の退陣を求めている
America's most senior US military officer suggests that the US still lacks sufficient intelligence to take action in Iraq. アメリカ軍の高位の士官によれば依然として米軍は軍事行動のための十分な情報をもたない
Major Chinese oil firms have prepared evacuation plans in case spreading iolence in Iraq threatens their operations, state media reported. 中国籍のイラク国内の石油会社が暴力の拡大に備えて脱出計画を策定
The prime minister’s political opponents have suggested a number of possible replacements: Adel Abdul Mahdi, a Shia former vice-president; Hussain al- Shahristani, the Shia deputy prime minister responsible for energy; and Ahmad Chalabi, the secular Shia politician and one-time US client now serving in parliament.
Divisions among Iraqi politicians could work in Mr Maliki’s favour. While his Sunni, Kurdish and secular opponents demand a government of national unity, many of his Shia rivals insist a simple majority government would rule more efficiently.
Nonetheless, with Shia factions loyal to Moqtada Sadr and others loyal to cleric Ammar Hakim, as well as the Kurds all announcing they would not join any Maliki-led Cabinet, his political career may be finished, if not now, in the coming weeks. “He failed in administering the country and running the government,” said Adnan Hussein, editor of the centre-left daily newspaper al-Mada. “The failure of the Iraqi armed forces took the people by surprise; they did not expect that much weakness. His failure gave credibility to those opposing him. That is why he has lost all popularity now.”
世界の億万長者がどんどん増えてるって。↓ ・・・The collective wealth of HNWIs ? defined as those with investable assets of at least $1m (£590,000) not including their main home, their art collection or vintage sports cars ? rose by 13.8% to $52.6tn. ・・・ In Britain, more than 62,000 people became HNWIs last year, bringing their numbers to a record high of 527,000 - or one in every 121 of the population.・・・ ・・・ultra-HNWI", who have more than $30m of assets to invest. There are 128,000 of these ? an increase of 18,000 on the previous year ? who collectively hold assets worth $18tn.・・・
The former commander of coalition forces in Iraq warned against getting embroiled in a long-running religious battle and noted Baghdad's government needed to be seen as fair by all Iraqis.
"The Maliki government, candidly, has got to go if you want any reconciliation." Senate Intelligence Committee chair Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., told a congressional hearing Wednesday. According to the Journal, that outlook is also shared by U.S. allies in the Middle East, particularly Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Some Arab allies reportedly are pushing for the White House to withdraw its public support for Maliki in exchange for providing help in stabilizing Iraq. 上院議員に加えてサウジアラビアなどアラブ湾岸諸国からもホワイトハウスに対して 軍事支援の前提条件として、マリキ政権支持を止めるようにとの圧力が有る
Good policy here begins by understanding that the United States should not take the side of Iraq’s Nouri al-Maliki in his sectarian war against the Sunni insurgents. Sending U.S. fighters or drones to bomb the new extremist strongholds in Mosul and Tikrit would, as retired Gen. David Petraeus argued Wednesday, turn the United States into Maliki’s air force and deepen the Sunni-Shiite chasm. ・・・・ The people who will pull the plug on Maliki are Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani and other Iraqi kingmakers. The United States should push them to signal unmistakably that Maliki is finished. And they must do so in coordination with Iran, which will effectively have a veto on the next Iraqi prime minister, whether we like it or not. ・・・・ The first umbrella is a new Iraqi unity government; the second is a U.S.- Iranian dialogue that draws in Saudi Arabia and its GCC partners; the third is an international coalition backed by the United Nations.
There was a point when voters hit the mute button and stopped listening to George H.W. Bush and then to his son George W. Bush. We now seem to have reached that point with Obama. Voters have thrown up their hands and lost hope that things will get any better.
・・・it should know that it will be on the opposite side of many of the Arab networks that support the Syrian uprising. アメリカ政府の見方とは異なって、多くのアラブネットワークはイラク危機をシリア 政府に対する反政府勢力の反乱と同じようにみている
That’s not because they support the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), which has been in a state of open warfare with most other Syrian rebel groups. They just mostly don’t see ISIS as the primary issue. Many of the most vocal Arab backers of Syria’s rebels support what they cast as an Iraqi popular revolution against an Iranian-backed sectarian despot. They equate the Iraqi uprising with the Syrian uprising, as a Sunni revolution against a Shiite tyrant, and actively oppose U.S. or Arab intervention against it. For just one example, the Kuwaiti Islamist preacher Hajjaj al-Ajmi, who has been one of the most prominent fundraisers for Syrian insurgency groups, has urged repeatedly against supporting “the moves by America and Iran to confront the Iraqi revolution.” アラブ諸国の見方ではISISは大きな問題とはみなしておらず、シリアの反政府勢力 がそうであるようにISISは武装勢力の一部であると見ている。彼らのシリア危機へ の見方は、イランの支援する宗教独裁者への反乱であるというもので、シーア独裁 政権へのスンニ勢力の革命である。そしてその革命行動はイランとアメリカが共同 で妨害している。例えば、クエ−トのイスラミストの説教師であるHajjaj al-Ajmi はシリア反政府勢力への献金を集めるのに大いに貢献したが、「アメリカとイラン のシリア革命への妨害行動」について再三に渡って非難している。
That seems to be a popular view, at least among those sectors of the Arab public most invested in supporting the Syrian insurgency. The Saudi professor Ahmed bin Rashed bin Said, who tweets to 350,000 followers as @loveliberty, said, “We must support the Sunnis of Iraq not only because they represent the Arab and Islamic face of Iraq, but to save Syria and limit Iran and protect the Gulf.” A former Qatari ambassador recently warned that a U.S. intervention on Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s behalf would be seen as a war on all Sunnis. そうした見方はポピュラーであるように見える、シリア反政府勢力への献金はアラ ブ諸国で広く見られていて、サウジアラビアの大学教授(ツイッターのフォロワーが 35万人という人気のある論客)Ahmed bin Rashed bin Saidは「我々はイラクのスン ニ派を支援しなければならない。それはイラクにとってアラブ、スンニの面子を保 つためであるばかりでなく、シリアを救うため、イランの影響力を抑えるためであ る」という。前カタール大使は最近アメリカに警告して、イラクのマリキ首相への アメリカの支援は、アラブのスンニ派への戦争とみなされる、と述べている
Beyond Iraq, the wide support among Arab backers of Syrian rebels for what they see as an Iraqi revolution needs to at least be acknowledged. At the least, these views suggest that effects of an Iraq intervention on the Syrian uprising are likely to be much less linear than many would currently expect, and that Washington shouldn’t expect much Arab popular or official support if it acts in the name of defending Maliki against ISIS. 湾岸アラブ諸国の広範なシリア反政府勢力への支持がイラク危機についても同じよ うな見方を与えているので、そういう事実をアメリカは知っておくべきである。 ISISに対峙するためのマリキ政権への支援はアラブ諸国の反感を招くだろう。
Force in the absence of a sustained political and diplomatic strategy leads nowhere. This has been Obama’s failure in Afghanistan, where the United States never invested much capital in a diplomatic solution involving negotiation with the Taliban; and in Iraq, where the president allowed American forces to withdraw without leveraging the massive U.S. investment there into ensuring that the sectarian Shiite government of Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki reached out to the Sunnis and Kurds.
欧州全域で反ユダヤ主義が高まっている処、とりわけユダヤ人口が欧州最大のフランスで甚だしいとさ。 (何度も言ってるように、プロト欧州文明への先祖返りってこと。)↓ ・・・Here and across the region, they are talking of the rise of a “new anti-Semitism” based on the convergence of four main factors.
背景に、経済不況、極右の台頭、黒人系とユダヤ人との軋轢、イスラム系とユダヤ人との軋轢、の4つがあると。↓ They cite classic scapegoating amid hard economic times, the growing strength of far-right nationalists, a deteriorating relationship between black Europeans and Jews, and, importantly, increasing tensions with Europe’s surging Muslim population. In Western Europe, no nation has seen the climate for Jews deteriorate more than France. ・・・In a country that has the largest Jewish community in Europe, ・・・
○マリキはシリアのアサドと同じ行動をしていて、彼に反対するものはテロリストか 邪悪な外国勢力の手先で、アメリカは此れを攻撃すべしという So far, his rhetoric has mirrored that of his neighbor Syrian President Bashar Assad: there are no significant domestic factors in the uprising, and everything can be labeled terror, treason and foreign plots.
○アラブ諸国はマリキ首相の政策がイラクの破綻を呼ぶことになると以前からホワイトハ ウスに警告してきた。アメリカはさらなる破綻を待ち続けるか? The White House has known for some time that Maliki’s rule was leading the country to the brink of the abyss, as America’s Arab allies issued strong warnings about the deteriorating situation. Was the U.S. deliberately waiting for things to explode?
○マリキを支えてきたイランも考察すべき時に来ている。イランが中東安定化を望むと言 うのであれば、マリキ支持を止めるべきだ It’s time for Tehran to prove that its rhetoric about promoting sound Sunni-Shiite ties is not just hot air. Removing Maliki would go a long way toward demonstrating Iran’s intention to truly help build a cohesive Muslim-majority country next door.
○マリキ首相が政権に居続けることは、イラクの時限爆弾になることを意味する If Maliki isn’t shown the door and the root problems remain unaddressed, then Iraq will be a time bomb, meaning that what the world has seen so far pales in comparison with what is to come.
"It is necessary for the winning political blocs to start a dialogue that yields an effective government that enjoys broad national support, avoids past mistakes and opens new horizons toward a better future for all Iraqis," al-Sisanti said in a message delivered by his representative Ahmed al-Safi in the holy city of Karbala.
The cleric's thinly veiled comments suggested that the prime minister was to blame for the nation's crisis as Sunni militants have joined forces with the al-Qaeda-inspired Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS). シスタニ師の声明はイラク危機へのマリキ首相の責任を示唆するもの
Al-Sistani's Friday sermon also called for the newly elected parliament to begin work and start the process of forming the next government without delay, Reuters reports. Maliki's party won the most seats in last month's election, but his coalition fell short of a majority.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ttp://online.wsj.com/articles/secret-u-s-plan-to-aid-iraq-1403308039 Administration and congressional officials say the U.S. also miscalculated the readiness of Iraqi forces: The White House's limited investment in the intelligence center was driven at least in part by the assumption that Iraqi forces would be more competent, the official said. Then, at the end of April, the Pentagon dispatched a team of special-operations personnel to assess the capabilities of Iraq's security forces, a defense official said.
The assessment they brought back was bleak: Sunni Army officers had been forced out, overall leadership had declined, the Iraqi military wasn't maintaining its equipment and had stopped conducting rigorous training. The response in Washington, summed up by a senior U.S. official, was: "Whoa, what the hell happened here?" アセスメント報告書へのワシントンの反応は「ワァォ一体此れは、何が起こっている のだ」というものであった。スンニ派の軍士官らが追放され、全体的な指導力が弱体 化し、イラク軍は装備や機器のメインテナンスを行っておらず、宗教教育を停止して いた。
Officials say U.S. surveillance flights picked up in the weeks before ISIS's main offensive and more dramatically in recent days. The Pentagon and U.S. intelligence agencies are nonetheless still struggling to develop potential targets to share with Iraqi forces or for any use in future U.S. airstrikes. 関係者によれば、アメリカの監視活動はISISが主力の攻撃を行う数週間前に、その 動向を検知していた。最近では、さらにドラマティックな動きが見られる。しかし ペンタゴンや諜報機関は依然として、潜在的な攻撃対象の特定化に困難を感じている (後略)
ttp://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/06/21/shiite-cleric-issues-threat-to-us-military-advisers-as-iraq-militants-take/ Shiite politicians familiar with the secretive efforts to remove al-Maliki said two names mentioned as replacements are former vice president Adel Abdul- Mahdi, a Shiite and French-educated economist, and Ayad Allawi, a secular Shiite who served as Iraq's first prime minister after Saddam Hussein's ouster. Others include Ahmad Chalabi, a one-time Washington favorite to lead Iraq, and Bayan Jabr, another Shiite who served as finance and interior minister under al-Maliki.(AP)
ISILがシリアとイラク北部で派手な活動を展開しているので、似たような状況を持つ ヨルダンへのISILの侵攻が懸念されていて、下記はヨルダンのジャーナリストの書い ている「ISILがヨルダンを攻める可能性」についての評論 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ttp://www.thenational.ae/thenationalconversation/comment/after-success-in-iraq-and-syria-isil-will-find-it-tougher-to-crack-jordan After success in Iraq and Syria, ISIL will find it tougher to crack Jordan Taylor Luck June 19, 2014 Updated: June 19, 2014 19:14:00 シリアとイラクの反乱の成功の後で、ISILはヨルダンのイスラエル・パレスチナ境界を 攻撃し、イエルサレム開放を目指す可能性があるが、此れは困難な目標だろう
・・・・Yet even more attractive to ISIL is the 220km stretch of Jordan Valley farmland separating Jordan from Israel and the Palestinian territories ? with leaders eyeing a push into Palestine and possible “liberation of Jerusalem” as key to winning over ISIL’s doubters.
・・・大幅省略・・・
Jordan has proven to be two steps ahead of the Islamic State, unleashing in April a new “pre-emptive strike” campaign along its border to prevent the movement from reaching Jordanian soil, engaging in a series of cross-border battles with suspected ISIL fighters that have reportedly left 20 dead and led to more than 100 arrests.
With a missile strike of four suspected ISIL vehicles along the Syria border last week, Jordanian officials returned the Islamic State’s warning shots and a message that ISIL’s path will face a roadblock in Jordan. (Taylor Luck is an Amman-based political analyst and journalist)
今や、米国でも親元に戻って一緒に住んでる成人が増えてきているって話はお馴染みだけど、昔の米国の親子関係が 紹介されてて、これがスゴイ。英本国が真っ蒼になるほどの裸の個人主義の荒涼たる光景って奴だ。↓ ・・・One in five people in their 20s and early 30s is currently living with his or her parents. And 60 percent of all young adults receive financial support from them. That’s a significant increase from a generation ago, when only one in 10 young adults moved back home and few received financial support. The common explanation for the shift is that people born in the late 1980s and early 1990s came of age amid several unfortunate and overlapping economic trends. ・・・
大部分は4歳から働かされ、10歳からはフルタイムで働かされた。↓ Childhood is a fairly recent economic innovation. For most of recorded history, a vast majority of people began working by age 4, typically on a farm, and were full time by 10. ・・・
それが変わり出したのはようやく1830年代になってから。↓ ・・・it wasn’t until the 1830s, as the U.S. economy began to shift from subsistence agriculture to industry and markets, that life began to change slowly for little kids. Parents were getting richer, family sizes fell and, by the 1850s, school attendance started to become mandatory.
直接的な名指しは避けたものの、大統領はサウジアラビアとカタールを示唆して "I advise Muslim countries that support the terrorists with their petrodollars to stop," Rouhani said in remarks reported by the website of Iran's state broadcaster. 「ペトロ・ダラーをテロリストに資金援助しているムスリム国にアドバイスシたいのだが
"Tomorrow you will be targeted... by these savage terrorists. Wash your hands of killing and the killing of Muslims," he added. 「明日には、貴方の国が、これらのテロリストの標的になるだろう。ムスリム国民を 殺戮することを支援するのを止めよ」
"For centuries, Shiites and Sunnis have lived alongside each other in Iran, Iraq, the Levant, Lebanon, the Persian Gulf and North Africa... in peaceful coexistence," he said. 「何世紀にもわたって、シーアとスンニはイラン、イラク、レバント、レバノン、 ペルシャ湾沿岸、北アフリカなどで平和に共存してきた」
Rouhani called for unity between "Shiites and Sunnis who are brothers". 大統領はシーアとスンニは兄弟であるとして国内での団結統合を求めた
The Battle of Kohima and Imphal was the bloodiest of World War II in India, and it cost Japan much of its best army in Burma. But the battle has been largely forgotten in India as an emblem of the country’s colonial past.・・・ The battle was voted last year as the winner of a contest by Britain’s National Army Museum, beating out Waterloo and D-Day as Britain’s greatest battle, though it was overshadowed at the time by the Normandy landings. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/22/world/asia/a-largely-indian-victory-in-world-war-ii-mostly-forgotten-in-india.html?ref=world
Chen said the Tokyo National Museum yesterday backed down from insisting that use of the term “Palace Museum, Taipei” by the media group was beyond its control. The position previously held by the Tokyo museum that it has no right to interfere with material prepared by media outlets because of freedom of speech was “untenable,” Chen said. “The posters have nothing to do with freedom of speech or editorial independence,” he added.